← Whale Watch

usrvillaciud

Predicting since Feb 2026737 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$8789¢80¢-$9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$6424¢18¢-$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1782¢59¢-$5
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$881¢87¢+$1
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$882¢81¢-$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1029¢21¢-$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$613¢16¢+$1
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$765¢66¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$659¢56¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$591¢94¢+$0
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$630¢23¢-$2
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?OtherYes$481¢87¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$483¢76¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$472¢73¢+$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$361¢69¢+$0
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$377¢79¢+$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$363¢55¢-$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$329¢17¢-$1
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$232¢25¢-$0
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?CultureYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09?Soccer (other)YesResolved$661¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1490¢0.0¢-$14
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$485¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1092¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$593¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1065¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1990¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1487¢0.0¢-$14
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?CultureYesResolved$039¢0.0¢-$0
Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$1978¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$591¢0.0¢-$5
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$415¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1080¢0.0¢-$10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$328¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$592¢0.0¢-$5
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$22.8¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$578¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$483¢0.0¢-$4
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 1.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$598¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1092¢0.0¢-$10
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$589¢0.0¢-$5
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$246¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1088¢0.0¢-$10
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3668¢0.0¢-$36
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?UFC / MMANoResolved$547¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$451¢0.0¢-$4
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$597¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$561¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1093¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1093¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1492¢0.0¢-$14
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$352¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$572¢0.0¢-$5
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$1994¢0.0¢-$19
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2479¢0.0¢-$24
La Velada del Año 6: Alondrissa vs Angie VelascoBoxingAlondrissaResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?TechYesResolved$240¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$119
Tech-$52
Crypto-$49
World Cup-$16
Soccer (other)-$11
UFC / MMA-$5
Boxing-$4
Culture-$3
Other+$2
eSports-$2
Finance+$2
Mentions+$2
Biggest hit
+$8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Toughest beat
-$36
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Alondrissa · La Velada del Año 6: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco$520h ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$42d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$55d ago
  • Sold No · Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?$58d ago
  • Sold Yes · Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$108d ago
  • Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$59d ago
  • Sold No · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?$010d ago
  • Sold No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$310d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$010d ago
  • Bought Yes · Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?$1011d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$611d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?$511d ago