real-hero-himmel

Predicting since Jan 20262,776 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $700 across 2 Tech markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?Tech	No	$500	91¢	95¢	+$20
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Tech	No	$200	79¢	87¢	+$20
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Tech	Yes	$31	40¢	53¢	+$10
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$15	4.0¢	1.8¢	-$8
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics	Yes	$15	1.3¢	0.4¢	-$11
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	0.3¢	0.7¢	+$1
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	2.4¢	0.8¢	-$3
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech	Yes	$5	1.2¢	0.4¢	-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	96¢	0.0¢	-$5
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$49	76¢	0.0¢	-$49
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 29, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	75¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	95¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	86¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$7	78¢	0.0¢	-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	85¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	81¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$15	74¢	0.0¢	-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	96¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$25	15¢	0.0¢	-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	77¢	0.0¢	-$5
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 1, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$9	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	66¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$10	72¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$6	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$5	94¢	0.0¢	-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	92¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 18, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	86¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$5	4.7¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$2	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$5	89¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30?Soccer (other)	YesResolved	$5	43¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$608

Crypto-$236

Politics-$151

World Cup-$45

NFL-$14

Champions League+$11

Weather-$6

Culture-$3

Soccer (other)+$1

Tennis-$1

Finance+$1

Other sports-$1

Biggest hit

+$143

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$231

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?$20231m ago
Bought No · Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?$50233m ago
Sold Yes · OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?$1983h ago
Bought Yes · Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?$313h ago
Sold Yes · OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?$945h ago
Sold Yes · OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?$85h ago
Sold Yes · OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?$105h ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?$315h ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?$505h ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?$96h ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?$256h ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?$3417h ago