| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?Politics | No | $19 | 95¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
| Will Reformation's market cap be at least $1.6B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $18 | 91¢ | 74¢ | -$4 |
| Will Russia enter Matiasheve by October 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 79¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Weather | No | $19 | 93¢ | 69¢ | -$5 |
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $21 | 54¢ | 34¢ | -$8 |
| Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Culture | No | $13 | 65¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 64¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 83¢ | 45¢ | -$8 |
| Will There be 10+ Knife Kills at Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2?eSports | Yes | $17 | 86¢ | 39¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | No | $16 | 78¢ | 38¢ | -$8 |
| Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Culture | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 36¢ | -$8 |
| Will "Charli xcx - Music, Fashion, Film" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 8?Culture | Yes | $11 | 56¢ | 28¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | Yes | $11 | 56¢ | 25¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 61¢ | 35¢ | -$3 |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?Politics | Yes | $11 | 61¢ | 21¢ | -$7 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $12 | 61¢ | 17¢ | -$9 |
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?Tech | No | $17 | 85¢ | 14¢ | -$14 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $15 | 75¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
Will Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | Yes | $3 | 68¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Politics | No | $7 | 36¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $4 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump praise Ursula von der Leyen by July 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 81¢ | 11¢ | -$14 |
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?Other | No | $3 | 66¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 92¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech | No | $12 | 61¢ | 9.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 46¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?Politics | Yes | $12 | 58¢ | 6.9¢ | -$10 |
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Culture | No | $15 | 74¢ | 6.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | +$0 |
Will NRPUP win the second-most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?Politics | No | $9 | 43¢ | 5.1¢ | -$8 |
| Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.6B?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Sells be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 7?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Marcus Smart play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 25?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.60 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Calma be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.70 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $14 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LCP 2026 Split 2?eSports | YesResolved | $3 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Over $85M committed to the Credible public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $8 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Real Tec be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Marcus Smart play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Senda be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Rinat be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Leavitt say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Twofive be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Icon Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Raptor be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Leavitt say "Thing" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |