 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $88 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $34 | 3.4¢ | 3.6¢ | +$2 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $39 | 20¢ | 15¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $28 | 1.2¢ | 0.4¢ | -$18 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Finance | NoResolved | $46 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Culture | YesResolved | $77 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jack Dorsey be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before October?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $728 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$728 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Jason Calacanis be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 6 at 5PM ET?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his announcement on September 2?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Megaquake before August?Weather | NoResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bezos divorce in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?Crypto | NoResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will David Sacks be the next CEO of X?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
