← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Dec 202528,649 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechNo$73.4¢56¢+$109
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$78.4¢99¢+$75
Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$11.0¢81¢+$80
Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$44.8¢76¢+$53
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027?Other sportsYes$11.0¢47¢+$46
Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$52.6¢23¢+$39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$36.5¢92¢+$39
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?PoliticsNo$513¢95¢+$30
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?PoliticsNo$11.0¢34¢+$32
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12.5¢86¢+$31
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by August 7?PoliticsNo$44.3¢34¢+$27
Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$54.8¢30¢+$26
Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$43.8¢30¢+$27
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?TechNo$49.6¢84¢+$27
Will Electronic Arts (EA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$37.7¢89¢+$27
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1235¢86¢+$17
Tfue vs Myth: WinnereSportsTfue$310¢98¢+$26
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?PoliticsNo$24.2¢57¢+$26
Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$37.2¢69¢+$24
Tread FDV above $5M one day after launchCryptoNo$43.7¢25¢+$22
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?CultureNo$310¢88¢+$23
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechNo$58.8¢46¢+$21
Hayley Atwell as Peggy Carter?CultureNo$52.6¢13¢+$21
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?WeatherNo$1235¢74¢+$13
Will Akhmat Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections?PoliticsNo$27.4¢99¢+$22
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?CultureNo$64.4¢16¢+$17
Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027?CryptoYes$25.3¢53¢+$19
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechNo$412¢65¢+$17
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechYes$11.0¢20¢+$19
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by December 31?PoliticsNo$65.7¢18¢+$13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?WeatherNo$2710¢7.0¢-$9
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?CryptoNo$26.4¢60¢+$17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1930¢29¢-$1
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$315¢86¢+$15
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$36.9¢41¢+$15
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?TechNo$24.7¢55¢+$16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$11.0¢17¢+$16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?WeatherNo$18.6¢100¢+$15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$312¢67¢+$14
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?TechYes$11.0¢16¢+$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 26?WeatherNo$1432¢37¢+$2
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$48.9¢34¢+$11
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsNo$316¢79¢+$12
Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Belal Muhammad in his next UFC bout?UFC / MMAYes$01.0¢42¢+$14
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?PoliticsNo$214¢96¢+$12
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?PoliticsNo$31.7¢7.9¢+$11
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 31, 2026?TechNo$37.4¢41¢+$11
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?TechNo$52.6¢7.0¢+$9
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?WeatherNo$946¢68¢+$4
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$29.6¢65¢+$11
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$211¢70¢+$11
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$11.0¢13¢+$12
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?TechYes$01.0¢33¢+$13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?CryptoNo$312¢52¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$429¢100¢+$9
Will Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$43.6¢11¢+$8
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyYes$25.1¢30¢+$10
Will NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$211¢81¢+$10
Will Trump post "Rigged" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$27.4¢48¢+$10
Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2027?CryptoYes$26.4¢37¢+$10
Will Ilia Topuria fight Charles Oliveira next?UFC / MMAYes$11.0¢12¢+$11
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$217¢99¢+$9
Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$414¢39¢+$7
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?CryptoNo$48.9¢25¢+$7
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?CultureNo$412¢34¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?WeatherNo$1235¢32¢-$1
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$48.4¢23¢+$7
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?CultureNo$412¢33¢+$7
Will Codex launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$17.2¢51¢+$9
Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by August 30?PoliticsNo$95.4¢6.2¢+$1
Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoNo$312¢39¢+$7
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?WeatherNo$1214¢12¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 26?WeatherNo$332¢100¢+$7
Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?PoliticsNo$414¢40¢+$6
Will Matt Orlando win the 2026 Chandler mayoral election?PoliticsNo$52.5¢5.1¢+$5
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?CultureNo$218¢88¢+$8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?WeatherNo$539¢69¢+$4
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoNo$48.9¢21¢+$6
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?CultureNo$315¢49¢+$6
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?CultureNo$315¢49¢+$6
Benedict Wong as Wong?CultureNo$412¢30¢+$5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$48.0¢18¢+$5
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechNo$218¢84¢+$7
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$315¢47¢+$6
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$215¢67¢+$7
Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$44.3¢9.6¢+$5
Squid FDV above $150M one day after launchCryptoYes$26.4¢28¢+$7
Will Trump say "Trump Account" this week?MentionsNo$310¢29¢+$6
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceYes$43.6¢7.2¢+$4
Will Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$48.2¢20¢+$5
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?CryptoNo$38.0¢21¢+$5
Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?MentionsNo$213¢57¢+$7
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?PoliticsNo$85.6¢5.9¢+$0
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?CultureNo$217¢69¢+$6
Will Trump say "Spain" this week?MentionsNo$218¢97¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?WeatherNo$335¢100¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?WeatherNo$221¢100¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 26?WeatherNo$229¢100¢+$6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?WeatherNo$334¢100¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 26?WeatherNo$221¢100¢+$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$712
Politics+$363
Finance+$276
Tech+$218
UFC / MMA+$128
Culture+$104
Weather-$66
Other sports+$53
Mentions+$46
eSports+$38
Tennis-$35
Economy+$20
Biggest hit
+$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Toughest beat
-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 26?$15m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$06m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 26?$118m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$323m ago
  • Bought No · Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$125m ago
  • Bought No · Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$025m ago
  • Bought No · Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$125m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 26?$138m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$141m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$141m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$142m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 26?$043m ago