Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $54 | 1.5¢ | 0.7¢ | -$30 |
Elon Bull Run ComboTech | Yes | $5 | 1.6¢ | 6.5¢ | +$14 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 7.1¢ | 21¢ | +$3 |
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $0 | 0.1¢ | 3.3¢ | +$4 |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?La Liga | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.0¢ | 1.4¢ | -$3 |
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 4.1¢ | 5.7¢ | +$1 |
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $3 | 3.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 3.1¢ | 4.0¢ | +$0 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 5.3¢ | 6.5¢ | +$0 |
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 3.5¢ | +$0 |
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?La Liga | Yes | $2 | 2.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$0 |
Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?La Liga | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$1 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.10T on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 1.9¢ | 2.6¢ | +$0 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $0 | 6.0¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 3.6¢ | +$0 |
Will MrBeast's latest video get at least 68 million views on day 4?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump’s remarks not air?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in September?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 23?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier League | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?Economy | NoResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will LYON Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?eSports | NoResolved | $4 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 16?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 920m and 940m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "Right" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 24?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in July?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on September 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 24?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |