← Whale Watch

ProfessionalPunter

Predicting since Aug 2023930 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $328K on Politics markets since Aug 2023.

Right now: $156K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$83K on Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$89K93¢96¢+$3.3K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$68K93¢96¢+$1.6K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$36K79¢66¢-$6.0K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$24K87¢88¢+$138
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$33K78¢54¢-$10K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$7.6K82¢99¢+$1.6K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$9.2K92¢83¢-$925
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$6.3K90¢100¢+$705
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$7.6K78¢65¢-$1.3K
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$6.2K69¢68¢-$175
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$4.6K68¢74¢+$395
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$5.7K31¢24¢-$1.4K
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$3.6K85¢100¢+$605
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$3.9K80¢81¢+$35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.7K77¢99¢+$743
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$2.6K35¢37¢+$85
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K87¢99¢+$198
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$1.5K77¢73¢-$75
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$1.0K88¢100¢+$145
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K60¢57¢-$47
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?TechNo$92592¢100¢+$71
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$79079¢57¢-$218
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27149¢97¢+$266
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$41376¢81¢+$26
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherYes$1.1K24¢9.5¢-$643
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechYes$39326¢21¢-$83
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$20390¢95¢+$13
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20695¢99¢+$9
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherYes$36251¢27¢-$174
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$17088¢94¢+$11
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$15562¢62¢+$0
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$3820¢48¢+$53
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechYes$28724¢7.5¢-$199
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$3820¢25¢+$9
Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$25100¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechYes$1319.8¢1.7¢-$108
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoYes$2628¢13¢-$14
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$77.7¢10¢+$2
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$1091¢81¢-$1
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsNo$663¢73¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$585¢89¢+$0
Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$5100¢100¢+$0
Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$5100¢100¢+$0
Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$3100¢100¢+$0
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$14550¢0.0¢-$145
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$33322¢0.0¢-$333
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K95¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$97831¢0.0¢-$978
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$429¢0.0¢-$4
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$2.0K11¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$808.0¢0.0¢-$80
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$6.0K56¢0.0¢-$6.0K
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$78534¢0.0¢-$785
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1022.0¢0.0¢-$102
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$894¢0.0¢-$8
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$17K58¢0.0¢-$17K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$328K
Tech+$74K
Crypto+$36K
Culture-$35K
UFC / MMA+$19K
Finance+$16K
NFL+$14K
World Cup+$13K
College Hoops+$12K
Boxing-$2.9K
Other sports+$948
eSports+$802
Biggest hit
+$83K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Toughest beat
-$33K
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$3.5K2h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$9893h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$43h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$533h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$5603h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$43h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2243h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$33h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1273h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1683h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$13h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2243h ago