Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $89K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$3.3K |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $68K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1.6K |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $36K | 79¢ | 66¢ | -$6.0K |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $24K | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$138 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $33K | 78¢ | 54¢ | -$10K |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $7.6K | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$1.6K |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9.2K | 92¢ | 83¢ | -$925 |
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $6.3K | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$705 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $7.6K | 78¢ | 65¢ | -$1.3K |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $6.2K | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$175 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $4.6K | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$395 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $5.7K | 31¢ | 24¢ | -$1.4K |
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $3.6K | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$605 |
| Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $3.9K | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$35 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2.7K | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$743 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $2.6K | 35¢ | 37¢ | +$85 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$198 |
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$75 |
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | No | $1.0K | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$145 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$47 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $925 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$71 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $790 | 79¢ | 57¢ | -$218 |
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $271 | 49¢ | 97¢ | +$266 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $413 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$26 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1.1K | 24¢ | 9.5¢ | -$643 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $393 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$83 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $203 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$13 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $206 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $362 | 51¢ | 27¢ | -$174 |
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $170 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $155 | 62¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
| Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 20¢ | 48¢ | +$53 |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $287 | 24¢ | 7.5¢ | -$199 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $38 | 20¢ | 25¢ | +$9 |
Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $25 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $131 | 9.8¢ | 1.7¢ | -$108 |
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 28¢ | 13¢ | -$14 |
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.7¢ | 10¢ | +$2 |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sports | No | $6 | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $145 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$145 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $333 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$333 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $1.9K | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $978 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$978 |
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.0K | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $6.0K | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.0K |
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Tech | NoResolved | $785 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$785 |
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $102 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $17K | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17K |