← Whale Watch

Outlier-K

Predicting since Apr 2026615 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40.2¢0.1¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$40.5¢0.4¢-$1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1071¢0.0¢-$10
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$647¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETCryptoDownResolved$880¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2515¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETCryptoDownResolved$988¢0.0¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 14?WeatherYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2079¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$23174¢0.0¢-$231
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?eSportsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?eSportsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$360¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1093¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1411¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
XRP Up or Down - July 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2536¢0.0¢-$25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 12?CryptoYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$44.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2040¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Team Nemesis to win 2-0?eSportsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 12?CryptoYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2025¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$180.2¢0.0¢-$18
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?eSportsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2031¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$25.4¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1534¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1310¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$826¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$975¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3588¢0.0¢-$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$734¢0.0¢-$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$254¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 12?CryptoYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1883¢0.0¢-$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2948¢0.0¢-$29
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1371¢0.0¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 17?WeatherYesResolved$30.5¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 14?WeatherYesResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$7877¢0.0¢-$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$747¢0.0¢-$7
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 17?WeatherYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCryptoDownResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$2090¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETCryptoUpResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 17?WeatherYesResolved$63.5¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2026¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$41.5¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1465¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1388¢0.0¢-$13
PARIVISION to win 2-0?eSportsYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 14?WeatherYesResolved$53.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?WeatherYesResolved$210.4¢0.0¢-$21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$110.2¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 13?WeatherYesResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETCryptoUpResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$614¢0.0¢-$6
StarCraft II: Maru vs NightMare - Map 1 WinnereSportsNightMareResolved$21.7¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$575¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto-$239
Weather-$16
eSports-$10
Politics-$5
World Cup-$2
Biggest hit
+$122
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Toughest beat
-$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$31d ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$61d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$101d ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$101d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$81d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$01d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$11d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$11d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$01d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$01d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$21d ago