← Whale Watch

atfw

Predicting since Jul 20243,094 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?TechYesResolved$04.7¢100¢+$8
Who will win Pinellas county?PoliticsTrumpResolved$178¢100¢+$0
Will Frank Lampard join Coventry?Premier LeagueYesResolved$192¢100¢+$0
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 150-174 tries?eSportsYesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada US Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?PoliticsYesResolved$17.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Dalton Knecht win NBA Rookie of the Year?NBAYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $3-5b one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Garrett Wilson be the top Fantasy Flex Player?NFLYesResolved$00.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Democrat win South Carolina Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?NBAYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?NFLYesResolved$394¢0.0¢-$3
Will another player be the top Fantasy Running Back?NFLYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fury beat Usyk?BoxingYesResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Democratic candidate win Arizona by 2.0%-3.0%?PoliticsYesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will RJ Barrett win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?NBAYesResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$08.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$02.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Republican win Missouri Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$01.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Germany win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Other sportsYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Real Sociedad win the UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ossufo Momade win the Mozambican presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Christopher Miller be Trump's Defense Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$05.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Gustavo Jalkh win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?PoliticsYesResolved$09.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?FinanceNoResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$420¢0.0¢-$4
Will Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?NFLYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will a Republican win Wyoming US Senate Election?PoliticsNoResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will 'A Bar Song (Tipsy)' win Song of the Year?CultureYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in November?PoliticsYesResolved$04.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will MOTHER be the first Pump.fun coin to $1b?CryptoYesResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$03.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Republican win Washington US Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sony release the Playstation 5 Pro in Q4 2024?TechNoResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?TechYesResolved$02.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?PoliticsNoResolved$026¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the AFC West?NFLYesResolved$03.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will another person be the next President of Croatia?PoliticsYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 4?PoliticsYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Kyren Williams be the top Fantasy Running Back?NFLYesResolved$02.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will another country win the most gold medals at the 2024 Paralympics?Other sportsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?PoliticsYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in August?PoliticsYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?EconomyYesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Democratic candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more?PoliticsYesResolved$09.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Will Brian Thomas Jr. win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?NFLYesResolved$02.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Democrat win Hawaii Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$12.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Democrat win Rhode Island US Senate Election?PoliticsNoResolved$01.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?PoliticsYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Premier LeagueYesResolved$39.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Armenia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Other sportsYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Braga win the UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Villarreal CF win La Liga?La LigaYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the World Series?MLBYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?PoliticsYesResolved$02.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will another player win NFL Defensive Player of the Year?NFLYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Travis Etienne Jr. be the top Fantasy Running Back?NFLYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will China win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?Other sportsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next?BoxingYesResolved$02.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?NBAYesResolved$02.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will Michael Pittman Jr. be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?NFLYesResolved$00.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will LeBron James lead the NBA in Assists?NBAYesResolved$01.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Caleb Williams win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?NFLYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will England win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?Other sportsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Eric Hargan be Trump's HHS Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will a Republican win West Virginia Governor Election?PoliticsNoResolved$02.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will $NEIRO be listed first on Binance?CryptoYesResolved$03.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Will US annual inflation be 2.8% in December?PoliticsYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Buddy Hield win the 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?NBAYesResolved$02.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Joel Embiid lead the NBA in scoring?NBAYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump nominate Bryan Slater for Labor Secretary?PoliticsYesResolved$237¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$03.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?NBAYesResolved$1954¢0.0¢-$19
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?Premier LeagueYesResolved$331¢0.0¢-$3
Will Minnesota United win the 2024 MLS Cup?MLSYesResolved$05.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$13.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?Other sportsYesResolved$02.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times?CultureYesResolved$00.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will a candidate from another party win New Mexico US Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.6¢0.0¢-$0
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?PoliticsYesResolved$012¢0.0¢-$0
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?WeatherYesResolved$27.6¢0.0¢-$2
Raj Rao announced as next BlackRock CEO?FinanceYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will a Democrat win New Hampshire Governor Election?PoliticsYesResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$01.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$03.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross more than $70m on 3-day opening weekend?CultureYesResolved$04.7¢0.0¢-$0
Will Jake Paul fight Ryan Garcia next?BoxingYesResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$505
Olympics-$474
Economy-$238
Culture-$230
Basketball (other)+$134
Premier League-$125
NFL-$95
Tech+$90
NBA-$60
Other+$56
Crypto+$53
Formula 1-$34
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Toughest beat
-$177
DNC open convention?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Jill Biden charged with elder abuse? $01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?$11y ago
  • Cashed out No · Robin DiAngelo out as Washington professor by Sept 6?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? $01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$11y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Nancy Mace's trans bathroom bill pass in 2024?$11y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Tyreek Hill sue the cops?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Chip Roy announce he won't seek reelection?$01y ago
  • Cashed out No · Ansem criminal charges in 2024?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Maryland's abortion protection measure pass?$01y ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?$11y ago