← Whale Watch

exothetajunkie

Predicting since Oct 2024637 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.0K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $4.5K across 2 Economy markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.8K on Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$2.1K43¢65¢+$1.1K
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$76150¢80¢+$461
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1243.5¢31¢+$969
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$56532¢61¢+$526
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1594.5¢16¢+$406
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$39579¢88¢+$45
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?EconomyYes$39916¢13¢-$79
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?EconomyYes$5330¢37¢+$11
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$4034¢36¢+$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$15058¢17¢-$107
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$1233¢87¢+$20
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsYes$14014¢1.8¢-$122
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$2612¢1.5¢-$23
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$2.1K15¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5008.4¢0.0¢-$500
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$946.3¢0.0¢-$94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2227¢0.0¢-$22
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4344¢0.0¢-$43
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K69¢0.0¢-$1.1K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$1005.0¢0.0¢-$100
US government shutdown by October 1?PoliticsNoResolved$31228¢0.0¢-$312
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11812¢0.0¢-$118
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$10021¢0.0¢-$100
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?FinanceYesResolved$60929¢0.0¢-$609
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24024¢0.0¢-$240
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$2912¢0.0¢-$29
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?EconomyNoResolved$15115¢0.0¢-$151
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$449.0¢0.0¢-$44
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$7314¢0.0¢-$73
TikTok sale announced by October 31?TechYesResolved$5338¢0.0¢-$53
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?CryptoYesResolved$65833¢0.0¢-$658
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$19038¢0.0¢-$190
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$244.0¢0.0¢-$24
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$73.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?FinanceYesResolved$4015¢0.0¢-$40
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor FritzTennisFritzResolved$9519¢0.0¢-$95
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $200 before 2026??FinanceYesResolved$1511¢0.0¢-$15
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super GiantsCricketKolkata Knight RidersResolved$32032¢0.0¢-$320
French election called by October 17?PoliticsYesResolved$42.1¢0.0¢-$4
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)NFLPanthersResolved$15050¢0.0¢-$150
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$3326¢0.0¢-$33
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$461.8¢0.0¢-$46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?CryptoYesResolved$7019¢0.0¢-$70
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4646¢0.0¢-$46
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?FinanceYesResolved$39663¢0.0¢-$396
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$46391¢0.0¢-$463
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$49150¢0.0¢-$491
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?FinanceYesResolved$022¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3615¢0.0¢-$36
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?Premier LeagueNoResolved$83542¢0.0¢-$835
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$476.8¢0.0¢-$47
Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in November?FinanceYesResolved$14012¢0.0¢-$140
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?TennisYesResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$710¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$115.3¢0.0¢-$11
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?PoliticsYesResolved$1924.8¢0.0¢-$192
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?FinanceYesResolved$18243¢0.0¢-$182
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1716¢0.0¢-$17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2505.0¢0.0¢-$250
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?CryptoYesResolved$73757¢0.0¢-$737
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8442¢0.0¢-$84
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10521¢0.0¢-$105
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52017¢0.0¢-$520
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$56712¢0.0¢-$567
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?FinanceYesResolved$8313¢0.0¢-$83
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins the toss?CricketPunjab KingsResolved$6348¢0.0¢-$63
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$4515¢0.0¢-$45
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?FinanceYesResolved$10911¢0.0¢-$109
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?PoliticsYesResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$813.1¢0.0¢-$81
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$19513¢0.0¢-$195
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$234.5¢0.0¢-$23
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$4.4K21¢0.0¢-$4.4K
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.9K27¢0.0¢-$1.9K
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$208.0¢0.0¢-$20
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2612¢0.0¢-$26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1064.9¢0.0¢-$106
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$2.3K23¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Next French confidence vote passes?PoliticsYesResolved$888.8¢0.0¢-$88
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?CultureYesResolved$10510¢0.0¢-$105
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?PoliticsYesResolved$18876¢0.0¢-$188
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$89541¢0.0¢-$895
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$507.9¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$158.0¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5975¢0.0¢-$59
French confidence vote fails?PoliticsNoResolved$4437¢0.0¢-$44
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?OtherYesResolved$28092¢0.0¢-$280
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$97.6¢0.0¢-$9
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyNoResolved$36217¢0.0¢-$362
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab KingsCricketMumbai IndiansResolved$2254¢0.0¢-$22
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$52449¢0.0¢-$524
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$4510.0¢0.0¢-$45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$53138¢0.0¢-$531
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$9018¢0.0¢-$90
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?FinanceYesResolved$94529¢0.0¢-$945
LAR vs. PanthersNFLLARResolved$81081¢0.0¢-$810
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$7313¢0.0¢-$73

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$7.0K
Economy-$5.1K
Finance-$3.2K
eSports+$1.9K
Crypto-$1.2K
Premier League-$833
Other-$702
Tennis+$610
Soccer (other)-$528
Cricket+$485
NFL+$380
Weather+$369
Biggest hit
+$4.8K
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$112d ago
  • Sold Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$5415d ago
  • Sold Yes · Fed rate hike in 2026?$455d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$3235d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2006d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1436d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$206d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1186d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$288d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$109d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$109d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$29d ago