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noblesse.oblige

Predicting since Dec 2024143 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $11K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $14K riding on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$29K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$93921¢12¢-$408
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsYes$517¢12¢-$2
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$33.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$81.9¢0.0¢-$8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$211.7¢0.0¢-$21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14K24¢0.0¢-$14K
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?World CupYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$132.2¢0.0¢-$13
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?PoliticsYesResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$60.4¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1056.0¢0.0¢-$105
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$71.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine buffer zone agreement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$74.9¢0.0¢-$7
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$60.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$20.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?World CupYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?PoliticsYesResolved$4.4K31¢0.0¢-$4.4K
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$33.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$15511¢0.0¢-$155
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$41.5¢0.0¢-$4
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?World CupYesResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?World CupYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$11K
Crypto+$136
World Cup-$40
Mentions+$14
NFL-$3
Other-$2
Biggest hit
+$29K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.5K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1507h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$1125d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$10025d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$526d ago
  • Bought Yes · Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?$526d ago