← Whale Watch

monoclith

Predicting since Nov 202516,064 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.4K on Weather markets since Nov 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$12382¢88¢+$8
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28?WeatherNo$13263¢51¢-$26
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 28?WeatherNo$11662¢55¢-$14
Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 11.5%-12.5%?FinanceYes$7538¢48¢+$19
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 27?WeatherYes$10148¢44¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 27?WeatherNo$9162¢58¢-$6
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 28?WeatherYes$8445¢39¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 27?WeatherYes$7944¢38¢-$12
Welltower (WELL) Q2 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15%-18%?FinanceNo$13161¢31¢-$64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?PoliticsYes$5731¢36¢+$8
Will "Reserve" be in the headlines this week?MentionsNo$7977¢64¢-$14
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?WeatherNo$6457¢56¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 27?WeatherYes$8347¢36¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 27?WeatherYes$7837¢30¢-$16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 27?WeatherYes$5438¢34¢-$5
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?PoliticsNo$6480¢61¢-$15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$4727¢27¢+$0
3M Open: Hole-in-One?GolfYes$3033¢51¢+$16
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 28?WeatherYes$4748¢46¢-$2
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?CultureNo$5759¢45¢-$14
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4747¢43¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 27?WeatherYes$4547¢44¢-$3
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$2850¢76¢+$14
Will Zekken Leave MIBR in 2026?eSportsNo$6666¢39¢-$28
Will Paper Rex Win an International Event in 2026?eSportsYes$6628¢16¢-$28
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMAYes$8267¢31¢-$45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsYes$9246¢18¢-$56
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8448¢20¢-$50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsNo$7334¢16¢-$40
Will FNATIC Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$3535¢33¢-$2
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?CultureNo$3533¢31¢-$2
Will the Republicans win the Arizona Secretary of State race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3484¢82¢-$1
Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?OtherNo$3382¢81¢-$1
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?CultureNo$6969¢32¢-$38
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechNo$3875¢62¢-$7
Starbucks (SBUX) Q3 global comparable store sales growth 5%-7%?FinanceNo$3550¢43¢-$5
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$4248¢34¢-$12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2977¢76¢-$0
Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBANo$4623¢13¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 28?WeatherNo$2680¢80¢-$0
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?OlympicsNo$3416¢12¢-$9
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$1733¢50¢+$9
Will Gen.G Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$7272¢25¢-$48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?WeatherYes$2830¢26¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2430¢29¢-$1
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$3023¢18¢-$7
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?PoliticsYes$11353¢11¢-$91
Will 100 Thieves Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?eSportsYes$2558¢52¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2460¢56¢-$2
Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5%-10.5%?FinanceYes$8138¢10¢-$60
Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?CultureNo$2272¢71¢-$0
Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?PoliticsYes$2848¢34¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?WeatherYes$2122¢21¢-$1
RipCars FDV above $2.5M one day after launch?CryptoNo$1365¢100¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?WeatherNo$1470¢100¢+$6
RipCars FDV above $1.5M one day after launch?CryptoNo$842¢100¢+$12
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1365¢100¢+$7
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m?CultureNo$1468¢100¢+$6
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 24?WeatherNo$1678¢100¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1364¢100¢+$7
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?CultureNo$6242¢14¢-$42
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?WeatherYes$421¢100¢+$16
Will Dan Jarvis be in the Burnham cabinet?PoliticsNo$944¢99¢+$11
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?TechNo$1888¢99¢+$2
Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$2550¢40¢-$5
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 22%+?FinanceYes$5228¢11¢-$33
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?Soccer (other)No$1577¢97¢+$4
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?PoliticsNo$1978¢80¢+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 28?WeatherYes$2443¢35¢-$4
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureNo$1574¢96¢+$4
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$945¢96¢+$10
Will "China" or "Chinese" be in the headlines this week?MentionsYes$2685¢64¢-$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on July 27?WeatherNo$1975¢76¢+$0
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?TechNo$2040¢38¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1783¢94¢+$2
Will TownSquare launch a token by November 30, 2026?OtherYes$1786¢93¢+$1
Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?MentionsYes$1932¢31¢-$1
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 total capital expenditures be above $38B?FinanceYes$1681¢93¢+$2
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?CultureNo$4623¢9.3¢-$27
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?TechNo$1783¢92¢+$2
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?eSportsNo$1573¢91¢+$4
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?PoliticsNo$1889¢91¢+$0
Will Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$1367¢91¢+$5
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?CultureYes$2040¢36¢-$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$419¢90¢+$14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 27?WeatherNo$1783¢90¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 27?WeatherNo$1889¢90¢+$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$1472¢90¢+$4
Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Other sportsNo$1783¢90¢+$1
Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?TechNo$1472¢94¢+$4
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?CultureNo$2380¢62¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?WeatherYes$2449¢37¢-$6
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?TechNo$1679¢88¢+$2
Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by August 31?World CupNo$8769¢14¢-$69
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?WeatherNo$1787¢88¢+$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYes$1783¢88¢+$1
Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?PoliticsNo$1683¢91¢+$1
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechYes$1468¢87¢+$4
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1680¢87¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1679¢87¢+$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$3.4K
Politics-$735
Culture-$481
Finance-$385
Crypto-$363
Tech-$144
Other-$140
World Cup-$132
Golf-$118
eSports-$116
UFC / MMA-$61
NFL-$47
Biggest hit
+$121
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Toughest beat
-$168
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?$03m ago
  • Bought No · Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 28?$33m ago
  • Bought No · Will "Deal" be in the headlines this week?$114m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$47m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "Deal" be in the headlines this week?$813m ago
  • Bought No · Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$3516m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 27?$1519m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 27?$328m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 27?$228m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 27?$428m ago
  • Sold No · Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 27?$130m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 27?$531m ago