 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $74 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$2 |
 Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?eSports | No | $70 | 53¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $63 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $48 | 72¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $48 | 66¢ | 62¢ | -$3 |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $49 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$6 |
 Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?Politics | Yes | $30 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 15+ goals in the 2026-27 season?Soccer (other) | No | $42 | 50¢ | 34¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-05 House election by 20%-25%?Politics | No | $25 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ismael Burgueño Ruiz win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 32¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $22 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $23 | 50¢ | 44¢ | -$3 |
 Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Culture | No | $21 | 42¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | No | $13 | 67¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $12 | 59¢ | 95¢ | +$7 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | No | $17 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 59¢ | 41¢ | -$9 |
 Will Tyler Reddick win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?Other sports | No | $17 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $14 | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Tech | No | $16 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?MLB | Yes | $18 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Tech | Yes | $18 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?MLS | No | $17 | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $18 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 TownSquare FDV above $350M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $17 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 35%-40%?Politics | No | $17 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 50¢ | 23¢ | -$19 |
 Will Otaviano Pivetta win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 50¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
| TownSquare FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $17 | 85¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | No | $16 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will ArrowCS eat a bug on stream by December 31?eSports | No | $17 | 86¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | No | $15 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Packers win the season series against the Vikings during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $17 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-07 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?NBA | No | $16 | 80¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ntombi Mekgwe be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Politics | No | $15 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $15 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?Politics | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $14 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-07 House election by 70%-75%?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $15 | 73¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 49¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $14 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alexandre Curi win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6%-9%?Politics | No | $14 | 77¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $13 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 31¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will SIENNA SPIRO win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Economy | No | $13 | 74¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?Politics | No | $13 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $22 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 45%-50%?Politics | No | $13 | 73¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by July 31, 2027?Other | No | $17 | 83¢ | 65¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Politics | Yes | $14 | 28¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 65¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $14 | 48¢ | 43¢ | -$2 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $13 | 69¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Will Dylan Kruger win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Politics | No | $13 | 63¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in September?Politics | Yes | $12 | 61¢ | 60¢ | -$0 |
| TownSquare FDV above $125M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 82¢ | 60¢ | -$4 |
 Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $12 | 37¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.49% in September?Economy | Yes | $12 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$1 |
 Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 72¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
 Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Politics | No | $11 | 57¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Politics | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $13 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $11 | 56¢ | 54¢ | -$0 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Soccer (other) | No | $12 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30?Weather | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 54¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 53¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $14 | 68¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?Politics | No | $11 | 53¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Will 'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana win the Ongo Niua 17 by-election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 45¢ | 27¢ | -$7 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | No | $11 | 53¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 28¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Politics | No | $10 | 48¢ | 49¢ | +$0 |
 Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Boxing | Mayweather | $11 | 53¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will AVAX dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $8 | 38¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
 Will Folarin Balogun rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | No | $10 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $10 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will TownSquare launch a token by November 30, 2026?Other | Yes | $17 | 86¢ | 50¢ | -$7 |
 Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Culture | No | $10 | 51¢ | 49¢ | -$1 |
 Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
 Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Economy | No | $10 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Arizona State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | U 6.5 | $10 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 45¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
 Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $9 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Sold Yes · Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?$93m ago
Sold Yes · Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?$1712m ago
Cashed out No · Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?$321m ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?$427m ago
Sold Yes · Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?$347m ago