 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $80 | 36¢ | 57¢ | +$46 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $102 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $75 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$18 |
 Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | Yes | $75 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$6 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
 Haiti elections delayed again?Politics | Yes | $40 | 71¢ | 99¢ | +$16 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $50 | 63¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $50 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $30 | 39¢ | 64¢ | +$19 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $30 | 72¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | No | $40 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$3 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $30 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $25 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | Yes | $20 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | No | $30 | 65¢ | 42¢ | -$11 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | No | $25 | 73¢ | 46¢ | -$9 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $15 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Economy | No | $15 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $15 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $15 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $15 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | No | $15 | 31¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 73¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 43¢ | 30¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $10 | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Politics | Yes | $10 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | No | $10 | 74¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $10 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 17¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 71¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $18 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics | NoResolved | $115 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 |
 Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Tech | NoResolved | $75 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $281 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$281 |
 Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $339 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$339 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $44 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $63 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $70 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $126 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$126 |