 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $733 | 67¢ | 57¢ | -$100 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $303 | 50¢ | 74¢ | +$138 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $228 | 58¢ | 81¢ | +$90 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $91 | 15¢ | 42¢ | +$158 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $120 | 60¢ | 99¢ | +$78 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $136 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$39 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $114 | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$18 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 80¢ | 99¢ | +$19 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $27 | 82¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $60 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$33 |
 Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $16 | 81¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $12 | 78¢ | 68¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $81 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $8 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $84 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Powell say "Rate cut" during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?Mentions | YesResolved | $18 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $76 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 Will anyone say "It's a good model" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Mentions | YesResolved | $18 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Grok 4.4 released by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $653 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$653 |
| Will Elon tweet 195–209 times?Other | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 GPT transaction fees by December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Kyiv" during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $43 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $715 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$715 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $66 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will Dillinger win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Joe's Giggle win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Redwood Shadow win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Hungary?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?Weather | NoResolved | $8 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Acclimatise win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Ready Tiger win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Kipling's Journey win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $92 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $305 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$305 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 10?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $24 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $120 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| Will Fortified win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $1 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Smart Legend win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Claude 4.8 released by June 15?Tech | NoResolved | $30 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Crypto | YesResolved | $123 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$123 |
| Will Alcyone win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump x Zelenskyy meet on Monday?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $55 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $172 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Andalus win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Mr Maestro win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $13 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $191 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$191 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $15 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?Politics | YesResolved | $76 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $56 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.0K | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $116 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
| Will Tambo's Justice win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $163 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$163 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $234 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$234 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $142 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model this year?Tech | YesResolved | $150 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on August 16?Weather | YesResolved | $44 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $68 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture | NoResolved | $173 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$173 |
| Will Beau Rain win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $24 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
| 2025 August second hottest on record?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election?Politics | BlueResolved | $167 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$167 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $108 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
| Will Solar Apex win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Rogue Bear win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 9?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Read 'Em And Weep win the 2025 Ladbrokes Townsville Cup?Other sports | YesResolved | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics | NoResolved | $132 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |