| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $619 | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$87 |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $447 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$18 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $445 | 34¢ | 12¢ | -$288 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $91 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$15 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $37 | 13¢ | 17¢ | +$10 |
| Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 8.1¢ | 5.6¢ | -$13 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $81 | 38¢ | 12¢ | -$56 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $25 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
| Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | Yes | $31 | 5.9¢ | 4.6¢ | -$7 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $18 | 4.0¢ | 4.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $19 | 8.1¢ | 6.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sports | No | $9 | 49¢ | 73¢ | +$5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$15 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $12 | 14¢ | 5.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
 Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $58 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
 Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $166 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$166 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $668 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$668 |
 Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Tech | NoResolved | $36 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
 Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBA | YesResolved | $3 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $6 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?Tech | NoResolved | $47 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | NoResolved | $64 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $13 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Wanda James be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $170 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the median home value in New York City be between $580,000 and $585,000 on April 1?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1.3K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?NBA | YesResolved | $18 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Politics | YesResolved | $527 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$527 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $62 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$62 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Politics | NoResolved | $116 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$116 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?Politics | YesResolved | $98 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win 2 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Valerie Foushee be the Democratic Nominee for NC-04?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Politics | YesResolved | $98 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?Politics | YesResolved | $61 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 7?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $74 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
 Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Donald Trump attend Dick Cheney's funeral?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $151 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
 Will Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $33 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $58 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 6?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?Politics | YesResolved | $84 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
 Will Natus Vincere win the LEC 2026 Versus?eSports | YesResolved | $44 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $17 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $487 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$487 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?NFL | YesResolved | $6 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $45 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?Politics | YesResolved | $88 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech | NoResolved | $9 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other) | YesResolved | $41 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will ON Win MSI Finals MVPeSports | YesResolved | $2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 4?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Ariana Grande be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Basketball (other) | NoResolved | $1.5K | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $181 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$181 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?Tech | YesResolved | $141 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$141 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $877 | 8.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$877 |
 Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?Mentions | YesResolved | $182 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$182 |
 Will Pobelter win Tyler 1 All Star tournament week 5? eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $77 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?NFL | YesResolved | $19 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will Mistral have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $149 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Sold Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$62d ago
Sold Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2806d ago