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Diplopia2

Predicting since Mar 2026552 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.2K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $2.4K across 2 Other sports markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Other sportsYes$2.1K86¢69¢-$410
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$93193¢96¢+$29
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$33754¢47¢-$45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$35623¢16¢-$111
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$22853¢46¢-$31
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13170¢88¢+$33
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechYes$284.9¢20¢+$90
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6513¢23¢+$48
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$8379¢77¢-$3
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$10168¢50¢-$27
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$6238¢42¢+$6
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?TechYes$6060¢45¢-$15
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8333¢14¢-$49
Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?Other sportsYes$21545¢7.0¢-$182
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$4417¢13¢-$12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$4623¢16¢-$15
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$33.9¢44¢+$27
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$3417¢14¢-$6
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$4412¢7.5¢-$16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsYes$4833¢14¢-$28
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1729¢30¢+$1
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$917¢28¢+$5
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2514¢5.8¢-$15
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$209.6¢5.0¢-$9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2323¢8.5¢-$14
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?PoliticsYes$1414¢3.5¢-$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$13026¢0.7¢-$127
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6724¢0.9¢-$65
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$123.9¢0.5¢-$10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$167.8¢0.7¢-$15
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group AeSportsEintracht FrankfurtResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?PoliticsNoResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?TechNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$3.2K
World Cup+$366
Other sports-$180
Crypto-$136
Culture+$122
NBA+$62
Finance+$39
Tech+$39
Mentions+$11
Economy+$4
Weather+$3
Other+$0
Biggest hit
+$518
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Toughest beat
-$163
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?$833h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$8314h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$5114h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$121d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$11d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$1001d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$101d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$91d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$11d ago