 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $3.5K | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$172 |
 Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1.4K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$32 |
 Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$34 |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Politics | No | $2.9K | 45¢ | 21¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Paulo Mourão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Politics | No | $1.2K | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$118 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $873 | 17¢ | 24¢ | +$357 |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Politics | No | $1.0K | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$107 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 45¢ | 21¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $598 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $471 | 49¢ | 60¢ | +$105 |
 Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $386 | 15¢ | 21¢ | +$147 |
 Will Yang Chiung-ying win the next Taichung Mayor election?Politics | No | $506 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$21 |
 Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | Yes | $633 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$160 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $465 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$7 |
 Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $410 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$60 |
 Will Masao Uchibori win the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $432 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $361 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$11 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $343 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
 Will "Digger" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $341 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$9 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $292 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will Mauro Mendes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?Politics | No | $365 | 87¢ | 70¢ | -$72 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $208 | 52¢ | 71¢ | +$74 |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $245 | 71¢ | 81¢ | +$33 |
 Will Nabor win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Politics | No | $272 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $252 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$16 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $267 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$6 |
 Will Nasir Idris win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $155 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$97 |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $126 | 33¢ | 66¢ | +$120 |
 Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $228 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$15 |
 Will "The Pitt" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $207 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
 Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $134 | 25¢ | 41¢ | +$83 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $173 | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$28 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by September 30?Finance | No | $190 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $170 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$15 |
 Will Isidro Flores Sosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Politics | No | $160 | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$22 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $142 | 50¢ | 62¢ | +$34 |
 Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Politics | No | $131 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$37 |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $209 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$42 |
 Will Geraldine Ponce Méndez win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Politics | No | $121 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$35 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $77 | 25¢ | 50¢ | +$79 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $220B by September 30?Finance | No | $139 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
 Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $125 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$23 |
 Will Otu Bassey Edet win the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $90 | 13¢ | 21¢ | +$52 |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics | No | $171 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$31 |
 Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $97 | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$42 |
 Will Kyle Hamilton win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $122 | 33¢ | 38¢ | +$17 |
 Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Politics | No | $136 | 43¢ | 44¢ | +$3 |
 Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Politics | No | $131 | 59¢ | 61¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $9.75B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $187 | 72¢ | 49¢ | -$61 |
 Will Armando González (Guadalajara) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Liga MX season?Soccer (other) | Yes | $187 | 9.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -$62 |
 Will Abubakar Malami win the 2027 Kebbi State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$24 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $245B by September 30?Finance | No | $105 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$16 |
 Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $120 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will Rafael Greca win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | No | $117 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $270B by September 30?Finance | No | $108 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $124 | 41¢ | 38¢ | -$10 |
 Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $103 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$9 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $87 | 23¢ | 30¢ | +$25 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $189 | 38¢ | 23¢ | -$78 |
 Will Honor of Kings Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?eSports | No | $88 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$22 |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $111 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $160B by September 30?Finance | No | $104 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $105B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $101 | 48¢ | 51¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $104 | 23¢ | 23¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $100 | 38¢ | 40¢ | +$4 |
 Will Hsu Chih-fu win the next Penghu County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $98 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Economy | No | $92 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $122.5B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $76 | 44¢ | 56¢ | +$21 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $132.5B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $76 | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$22 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.225T by September 30?Finance | Yes | $108 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$15 |
 Will Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$12 |
 First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?Politics | Yes | $79 | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | Yes | $468 | 11¢ | 2.0¢ | -$379 |
 Will Bloomberg IPO by March 31, 2027?Tech | No | $87 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Politics | No | $156 | 52¢ | 28¢ | -$70 |
 Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Other sports | Yes | $85 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
 Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $197 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$117 |
 Will CTBC Flying Oyster Qualify for Worlds 2026?eSports | Yes | $26 | 33¢ | 100¢ | +$51 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $84 | 84¢ | 76¢ | -$8 |
 Will Cloud9 Kia Qualify for Worlds 2026?eSports | Yes | $51 | 33¢ | 49¢ | +$24 |
 Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?Weather | No | $41 | 51¢ | 91¢ | +$32 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $75 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $41.5B by September 30?Finance | No | $40 | 40¢ | 71¢ | +$31 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.25B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $114 | 48¢ | 28¢ | -$47 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $625B by September 30?Finance | No | $59 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$7 |
 Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $87 | 36¢ | 27¢ | -$22 |
 Will Tsai Sung-yi win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Politics | No | $63 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $78 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$16 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by September 30?Finance | Yes | $28 | 22¢ | 47¢ | +$32 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by September 30?Finance | No | $59 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 8.0¢ | 9.0¢ | +$7 |
 Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $44 | 6.5¢ | 8.5¢ | +$14 |
 Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?Tennis | No | $45 | 77¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $47 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Politics | No | $55 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.375T by September 30?Finance | No | $32 | 32¢ | 55¢ | +$23 |
| Will Bloomberg IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $25 | 16¢ | 34¢ | +$28 |
 Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $67 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$14 |
 Will Invictus Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026?eSports | No | $152 | 76¢ | 27¢ | -$99 |
Cashed out No · Will Brett Smiley be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence?$03d ago
Cashed out Yes · Next DeepSeek Flash released by November 30, 2026?$203d ago
Cashed out No · Israel Election: Unity Party & Blue and White Run on Same List?$424d ago
Bought Up · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?$05d ago