Magenilan

Predicting since Jun 202540 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.0K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $3.6K across 20 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.2K on US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$110	4.3¢	0.0¢	-$110
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$300	12¢	0.0¢	-$300
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$225	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$225
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Politics	YesResolved	$75	2.8¢	0.0¢	-$75
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$13	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Politics	YesResolved	$35	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$35
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$152	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$152
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$140	15¢	0.0¢	-$140
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$500	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$500
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$240	13¢	0.0¢	-$240
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$593	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$593
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$180	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$180
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Politics	YesResolved	$800	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$800
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$200	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$200
Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?Politics	YesResolved	$45	5.1¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$300	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$300
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$130	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$130
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$212	7.6¢	0.0¢	-$212
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$537	14¢	0.0¢	-$537
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$30	4.0¢	0.0¢	-$30
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$40	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$40
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$25	0.7¢	0.0¢	-$25
Will Israel invade Iran before July?Politics	YesResolved	$55	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$55
Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Politics	YesResolved	$76	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$76
US forces in Iran before August?Politics	YesResolved	$41	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$41
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$40	1.8¢	0.0¢	-$40
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$117	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$117
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$400	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$400
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Politics	YesResolved	$100	4.6¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$100	16¢	0.0¢	-$100
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$379	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$379
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	1.4¢	0.0¢	-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Politics	YesResolved	$202	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$202
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$80	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$80

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$6.0K

Biggest hit

+$1.2K

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$310

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Recent moves

Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$926d ago
Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$37026d ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1056mo ago
Sold No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1056mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1076mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2006mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1006mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$2006mo ago
Bought Yes · Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1006mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2006mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3006mo ago
Bought No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1276mo ago