 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $298 | 54¢ | 87¢ | +$179 |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $405 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $176 | 53¢ | 85¢ | +$104 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $93 | 39¢ | 85¢ | +$109 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $65 | 36¢ | 86¢ | +$92 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $392 | 49¢ | 14¢ | -$283 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $24 | 35¢ | 85¢ | +$34 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $36 | 24¢ | 36¢ | +$17 |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $51 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $59 | 72¢ | 63¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $197 | 56¢ | 14¢ | -$148 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $41 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $21 | 43¢ | 54¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $103 | 51¢ | 12¢ | -$78 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP?Politics | V | $20 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $18 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $15 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $15 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics | No | $16 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $14 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $14 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $16 | 89¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $3 | 35¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $10 | 5.4¢ | 3.3¢ | -$4 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Left Party (V) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $8 | 3.2¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win at least 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $4 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $3 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| Will Unity win 0.75-1% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $3 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $3 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $2 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.5¢ | 5.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 4.3¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $2 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 29¢ | 7.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $9 | 1.7¢ | 0.3¢ | -$8 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 33¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
| Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $2 | 77¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 47¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
 Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
Sold No · Will the Liberals (L) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$44h ago
Sold No · Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?$616h ago