 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $311 | 88¢ | 83¢ | -$17 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $108 | 44¢ | 62¢ | +$43 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $192 | 55¢ | 42¢ | -$48 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $106 | 48¢ | 57¢ | +$22 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $105 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $103 | 3.6¢ | 2.6¢ | -$28 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $57 | 3.4¢ | 4.3¢ | +$16 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $75 | 88¢ | 82¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $73 | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $88 | 4.3¢ | 3.3¢ | -$21 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $84 | 56¢ | 44¢ | -$18 |
 Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $89 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$23 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $34 | 35¢ | 54¢ | +$18 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $31 | 24¢ | 30¢ | +$6 |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $44 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $42 | 2.3¢ | 1.8¢ | -$8 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $21 | 43¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $28 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$5 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $17 | 68¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $18 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $13 | 70¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $15 | 12¢ | 8.1¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $50 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$41 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $11 | 10¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will 240-249 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $8 | 29¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $11 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$7 |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $4 | 47¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.5¢ | 1.2¢ | -$0 |
| Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 6.6¢ | -$3 |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 10¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.2¢ | 1.7¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$07h ago