Tiel1

Predicting since Jan 202616 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics	Yes	$20	19¢	12¢	-$8
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?Politics	YesResolved	$10	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?Boxing	YesResolved	$31	23¢	0.0¢	-$31
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$3	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$6	15¢	0.0¢	-$6
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Politics	NoResolved	$6	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Culture	YesResolved	$30	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Novocaine be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$9	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$9
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$20	25¢	0.0¢	-$20
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$30	11¢	0.0¢	-$30
ICE shooter charged by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$30	21¢	0.0¢	-$30

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$98

Boxing+$92

Culture-$39

Tech-$34

Biggest hit

+$123

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Toughest beat

-$4

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?

Bought No · Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?$65mo ago
Bought No · GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?$305mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$1435mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Novocaine be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$96mo ago
Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$36mo ago
Sold Yes · Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?$66mo ago
Bought Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$66mo ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$76mo ago
Bought Yes · U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$36mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$206mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$206mo ago
Bought Yes · ICE shooter charged by March 31?$306mo ago