 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $25 | 48¢ | 67¢ | +$10 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $25 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 14¢ | 1.1¢ | -$32 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 9?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 9?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 7?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 7?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 9?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 7?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $52 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 6?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
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