← Whale Watch

simulacrum3

Predicting since Jan 20252,322 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.0K on Politics markets since Jan 2025.

Right now: $653 across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$32660¢76¢+$83
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$36961¢67¢+$32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$39356¢38¢-$130
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$18176¢98¢+$52
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$21987¢87¢-$2
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$3316¢100¢+$167
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$12375¢96¢+$34
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$15276¢72¢-$9
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$17845¢33¢-$48
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10469¢86¢+$25
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$22464¢37¢-$96
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$15562¢48¢-$34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$21344¢21¢-$113
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$7070¢100¢+$30
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$7236¢50¢+$27
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechNo$8686¢99¢+$13
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$21471¢31¢-$120
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsYes$9090¢90¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$8542¢43¢+$1
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$12457¢34¢-$49
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$12760¢34¢-$57
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?TechYes$7777¢69¢-$8
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?PoliticsNo$8787¢68¢-$19
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?PoliticsNo$6191¢93¢+$1
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechYes$6363¢59¢-$4
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$5546¢48¢+$2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$8241¢28¢-$25
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?EconomyYes$8181¢56¢-$25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsYes$4487¢97¢+$5
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?PoliticsYes$14558¢18¢-$100
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$5415¢12¢-$9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$4590¢86¢-$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$2230¢52¢+$16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$5226¢16¢-$21
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$369.0¢7.5¢-$6
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10234¢8.5¢-$76
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsYes$5728¢11¢-$35
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$12938¢6.5¢-$107
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?CryptoYes$2272¢48¢-$7
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$4431¢7.0¢-$34
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$209.9¢5.0¢-$10
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsYes$2526¢10¢-$15
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$103.1¢2.9¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?PoliticsYes$5025¢3.5¢-$43
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsYes$74.9¢3.4¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$328.0¢0.9¢-$29
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?TechYes$3015¢1.3¢-$27
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$183¢88¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.0K
Tech+$266
Crypto+$231
Culture-$198
NBA+$167
Mentions-$94
Weather+$78
Other+$47
Economy-$32
eSports-$24
Boxing+$24
UFC / MMA+$23
Biggest hit
+$349
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
Toughest beat
-$432
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$17445m ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$851h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$111h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$452h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$453h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$453h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?$613h ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$453h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$3614h ago
  • Cashed out Muhammad Said · UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$015h ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 21?$015h ago
  • Cashed out Ramazan Temirov · UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)$015h ago