 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $398 | 62¢ | 97¢ | +$226 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $339 | 61¢ | 73¢ | +$63 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $519 | 37¢ | 18¢ | -$274 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $162 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$14 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $152 | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$24 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $213 | 44¢ | 25¢ | -$93 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $75 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$7 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $287 | 75¢ | 22¢ | -$205 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $69 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $80 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$9 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $214 | 71¢ | 23¢ | -$146 |
 OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 59¢ | -$29 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $224 | 64¢ | 17¢ | -$166 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $178 | 45¢ | 14¢ | -$124 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $124 | 57¢ | 24¢ | -$73 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $127 | 60¢ | 24¢ | -$77 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $89 | 49¢ | 28¢ | -$39 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $59 | 59¢ | 44¢ | -$15 |
 Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $54 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$19 |
 Critical Discord Incident by September 30?Tech | Yes | $56 | 37¢ | 24¢ | -$20 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?Politics | Yes | $145 | 58¢ | 13¢ | -$114 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $82 | 41¢ | 16¢ | -$51 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $20 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$8 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $70 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$42 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | Yes | $57 | 28¢ | 11¢ | -$35 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $102 | 34¢ | 7.5¢ | -$79 |
 Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Tech | No | $30 | 75¢ | 51¢ | -$10 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $25 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$5 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $57 | 69¢ | 22¢ | -$39 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $52 | 26¢ | 8.6¢ | -$35 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $20 | 51¢ | 43¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 10¢ | 8.3¢ | -$3 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $15 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 63¢ | 12¢ | -$41 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 25¢ | 4.2¢ | -$42 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 9.9¢ | 3.6¢ | -$12 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 72¢ | 7.3¢ | -$52 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 4.9¢ | 2.8¢ | -$3 |
| Will Claude go down 14+ times in September?Tech | Yes | $4 | 6.1¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $1 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Dan HookerResolved | $19 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Oumar SyResolved | $34 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Farés ZiamResolved | $18 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Sold Yes · AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$119h ago
Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?$292d ago