stoicspeculator

Predicting since Feb 202535 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$10	62¢	100¢	+$6
Will Trump say "Thanksgiving" 5+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?Mentions	NoResolved	$3	25¢	0.0¢	-$3
US recession in 2025?Economy	YesResolved	$20	65¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	32¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics	NoResolved	$10	87¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?Mentions	YesResolved	$30	77¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Trump say "Space Force" during call with Service Members on November 27?Mentions	NoResolved	$3	45¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$3	19¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	90¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Politics	NoResolved	$20	47¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump say "Recep Tayyip" or "Erdoğan" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	12¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$10	64¢	0.0¢	-$10
Trump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump say "Super Centennial" in December?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	38¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?Mentions	NoResolved	$10	42¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Swimmingly" in December?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	30¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Taylor Swift say "Christmas" on The Late Show on December 10?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	81¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?Mentions	YesResolved	$30	76¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?Economy	YesResolved	$10	77¢	0.0¢	-$10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$3	19¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" on The Late Show on December 10?Mentions	YesResolved	$3	35¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Trump say "Skedaddle" during call with Service Members on November 27?Mentions	NoResolved	$3	98¢	0.0¢	-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Mentions-$79

Politics-$30

Economy-$29

Culture+$6

Tech-$3

Biggest hit

+$16

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?

Toughest beat

-$30

Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Swimmingly" in December?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Super Centennial" in December?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Taylor Swift say "Christmas" on The Late Show on December 10?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" on The Late Show on December 10?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$37mo ago
Bought Yes · Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$37mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$107mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump say "Biden" during call with Service Members on November 27?$37mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$107mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$117mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Thanksgiving" 5+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?$38mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Space Force" during call with Service Members on November 27?$38mo ago