← Whale Watch

libratus1

Predicting since Mar 20231,025 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $21K on Tech markets since Mar 2023.

Right now: $945 across 2 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$94085¢95¢+$100
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$89177¢89¢+$136
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?TechNo$90188¢84¢-$42
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$47094¢99¢+$27
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechYes$48296¢97¢+$3
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?TechNo$15047¢76¢+$91
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$8238¢94¢+$118
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$14598¢97¢-$1
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$5450¢74¢+$25
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsYes$47843¢7.0¢-$401
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$5294¢96¢+$1
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3989¢92¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsNo$774¢75¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsYes$3514¢0.8¢-$33
Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?TechYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026?TechYesResolved$256.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$139.2¢0.0¢-$13
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$122.9¢0.0¢-$12
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?TechYesResolved$15552¢0.0¢-$155
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$123.4¢0.0¢-$12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$263.2¢0.0¢-$26
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1452.1¢0.0¢-$145
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$529.0¢0.0¢-$52
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$5921¢0.0¢-$59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$52415¢0.0¢-$524
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$18915¢0.0¢-$189
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?TechYesResolved$7628¢0.0¢-$76
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?PoliticsYesResolved$6775¢0.0¢-$67
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$1152.0¢0.0¢-$115
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$34027¢0.0¢-$340
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$32.8¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech+$21K
Politics+$14K
Crypto+$4.6K
Culture+$1.4K
Formula 1+$1.1K
Premier League-$792
NFL+$694
Other-$511
Tennis+$406
Economy+$339
Other sports-$231
Mentions-$201
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Toughest beat
-$2.2K
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$4827h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$5210h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$311h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$7813h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$017h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will any other model be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?$33018h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$9720h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$48822h ago
  • Bought No · Will any other model be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?$3201d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$2431d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$21d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?$5791d ago