← Whale Watch

BlackswanDefi

Predicting since Jul 2025182 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.8K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $2.6K riding on Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?.

Biggest hit: +$2.6K on Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$2.6K11¢9.5¢-$361
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoYes$68034¢44¢+$200
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$82555¢27¢-$420
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5001.4¢1.1¢-$112
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$4000.8¢0.7¢-$75
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$29094¢88¢-$19
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$45332¢15¢-$238
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3001.0¢0.7¢-$105
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsYes$25323¢18¢-$60
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2102.1¢1.8¢-$35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$2317.7¢5.5¢-$65
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1302.0¢2.4¢+$23
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3000.7¢0.4¢-$150
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2410¢54¢+$106
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?CryptoNo$11695¢98¢+$4
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1801.8¢1.1¢-$75
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$5564¢99¢+$30
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?CryptoYes$14014¢7.5¢-$65
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$7398¢98¢+$0
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$52535¢3.5¢-$473
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$1988¢95¢+$2
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$989¢96¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$427¢13¢-$2
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$534¢12¢-$3
China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsYes$13.3¢3.5¢+$0
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$20216¢0.0¢-$202
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$85.7¢0.0¢-$8
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$88943¢0.0¢-$889
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?PoliticsYesResolved$70421¢0.0¢-$704
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1007.6¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$6.8K
Crypto+$1.3K
Economy+$497
Tech-$358
World Cup-$261
UFC / MMA+$231
Culture-$212
Weather-$47
Finance-$47
Other sports+$33
College Hoops-$11
eSports+$0
Biggest hit
+$2.6K
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
Toughest beat
-$4.3K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$203d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$383d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$5955d ago
  • Sold No · Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$9506d ago
  • Sold No · Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?$1.1K6d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$2.4K8d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$18d ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$2511d ago