← Whale Watch

DuneMentat

Predicting since Dec 20243,929 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $11K on Politics markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $3.9K riding on FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship?GolfNo$3.9K98¢99¢+$33
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1.8K40¢66¢+$1.2K
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$1.9K74¢77¢+$71
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$2.0K85¢84¢-$35
Will Kyle Larson win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?Other sportsNo$1.1K84¢87¢+$42
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?CultureNo$60550¢94¢+$527
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$85891¢99¢+$72
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$89285¢86¢+$6
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$83796¢100¢+$32
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueNo$2.4K73¢24¢-$1.6K
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?MLBNo$56970¢95¢+$201
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?CultureNo$72697¢99¢+$14
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$60586¢100¢+$96
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsNo$68173¢74¢+$6
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueNo$98284¢59¢-$295
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$54981¢99¢+$125
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?OtherNo$56583¢96¢+$93
Will the Toronto Tempo make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?Basketball (other)No$49271¢93¢+$153
Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?PoliticsYes$17228¢96¢+$420
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$87594¢64¢-$286
Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$55492¢94¢+$12
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?CultureYes$52994¢96¢+$15
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$27927¢47¢+$195
Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$44298¢100¢+$7
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$25955¢94¢+$182
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?CultureYes$41985¢87¢+$7
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?PoliticsNo$38467¢75¢+$41
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$30672¢94¢+$94
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?NFLNo$36796¢100¢+$13
Will Francois Hollande win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsNo$28879¢95¢+$57
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel?CultureYes$30374¢84¢+$37
Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$25875¢99¢+$81
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsNo$29188¢100¢+$38
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?CultureYes$30188¢94¢+$20
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$23354¢72¢+$77
Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$30970¢69¢-$1
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsYes$27040¢44¢+$24
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$25077¢81¢+$13
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$22789¢99¢+$26
Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBYes$16636¢53¢+$77
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$13048¢89¢+$112
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$29512¢9.5¢-$56
Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$21276¢85¢+$22
Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$17779¢100¢+$46
Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?PoliticsNo$21294¢99¢+$10
Will Chase Elliott win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG?Other sportsNo$20495¢97¢+$5
Will Yan Diomande join Liverpool?Soccer (other)No$10550¢99¢+$102
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechNo$75811¢3.0¢-$552
Will Waymo launch in Tampa, FL by December 31 2026?TechYes$6329¢96¢+$143
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?CultureNo$19335¢36¢+$7
Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?CultureNo$17483¢95¢+$25
Will Warsh say "Productivity" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$18573¢78¢+$12
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$11147¢84¢+$85
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title?MLBNo$14272¢100¢+$54
Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$19589¢88¢-$1
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?CultureYes$19271¢72¢+$2
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?PoliticsYes$17987¢94¢+$14
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?PoliticsNo$12060¢95¢+$70
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?Soccer (other)Yes$25642¢31¢-$72
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYes$18488¢88¢-$1
Will Otto Lopez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?MLBNo$21083¢70¢-$33
Will Craig Greenberg win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?PoliticsYes$13270¢92¢+$42
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$11969¢99¢+$51
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsNo$12272¢100¢+$47
Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsYes$13175¢94¢+$34
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man?CultureNo$14477¢87¢+$19
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$15348¢51¢+$10
Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?PoliticsNo$10761¢91¢+$53
Will Antony Barran advance to the general election for WA-03?PoliticsNo$13185¢98¢+$21
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?CultureYes$13181¢87¢+$10
Will Scott DesJarlais be the TN-04 Republican nominee?PoliticsYes$12486¢93¢+$11
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?CultureYes$8750¢77¢+$47
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$84642¢6.5¢-$714
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?CultureYes$11477¢89¢+$17
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$18492¢65¢-$54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$13685¢81¢-$7
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$9240¢56¢+$37
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$10577¢94¢+$23
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$10074¢95¢+$27
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$7660¢100¢+$50
3M Open: Hole-in-One?GolfNo$10367¢81¢+$22
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?Premier LeagueNo$19244¢28¢-$70
Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBANo$14680¢66¢-$25
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?CultureNo$12038¢37¢-$2
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?PoliticsNo$40270¢21¢-$285
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$8566¢90¢+$31
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?TechYes$7048¢79¢+$44
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Soccer (other)No$10983¢87¢+$5
Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?PoliticsYes$10483¢91¢+$10
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?CultureYes$8064¢90¢+$32
Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsNo$8372¢96¢+$27
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?CultureYes$10150¢52¢+$4
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?PoliticsYes$7770¢94¢+$26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$10433¢33¢-$2
Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$6966¢99¢+$34
Will Eddie Speir be the FL-16 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$9494¢98¢+$4
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$9277¢81¢+$5
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?CultureYes$5743¢75¢+$41
Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?PoliticsNo$9170¢75¢+$6
Benedict Wong as Wong?CultureYes$6850¢71¢+$27

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$11K
Olympics-$6.0K
NFL-$5.7K
Culture-$4.3K
MLB+$4.3K
Premier League-$2.7K
Mentions+$2.7K
Tennis-$2.6K
eSports+$2.5K
Formula 1-$2.3K
Basketball (other)-$2.0K
Weather-$1.9K
Biggest hit
+$13K
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Toughest beat
-$3.7K
Will Angelina Keeley be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?

Recent moves

  • MERGE Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?$479m ago
  • Bought Yes · Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?$263h ago
  • Bought No · Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?$834h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$385h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$475h ago
  • Bought No · Will Belinda Keiser be the FL-22 Republican nominee?$226h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will A'ja Wilson be named the MVP of the 2026 WNBA All-Star Game?$1146h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Kelsey Mitchell be named the MVP of the 2026 WNBA All-Star Game?$106h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Rhyne Howard be named the MVP of the 2026 WNBA All-Star Game?$506h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Caitlin Clark be named the MVP of the 2026 WNBA All-Star Game?$406h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Allisha Gray be named the MVP of the 2026 WNBA All-Star Game?$516h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Marina Mabrey be named the MVP of the 2026 WNBA All-Star Game?$3746h ago