ManualMan

Predicting since Jun 202684 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2	0.5¢	0.4¢	-$0
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?Politics	Yes	$2	0.9¢	0.5¢	-$1
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	Yes	$2	0.6¢	0.4¢	-$1
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	1.7¢	2.1¢	+$0
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1	1.5¢	1.6¢	+$0
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?Weather	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 26, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$0	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$0
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics	YesResolved	$0	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech	YesResolved	$3	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$3
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will a player representing Croatia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$0	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto	NoResolved	$0	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will N'Golo Kanté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$2	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech	YesResolved	$4	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?Tech	YesResolved	$0	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 The Open Championship?Golf	YesResolved	$0	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?Weather	YesResolved	$1	1.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?Culture	YesResolved	$0	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$0
ITF Krsko: Stefania Bojica vs Rose Marie NijkampTennis	Stefania BojicaResolved	$2	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Tennis	YesResolved	$1	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Economy	YesResolved	$1	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$0	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$0
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Tennis	YesResolved	$1	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$1
ITF Wuning: Yan Cheng Chen vs Muhamad Rifqi FitriadiTennis	Yan Cheng ChenResolved	$1	6.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL	NoResolved	$1	4.5¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$7

Tennis-$6

World Cup-$4

NBA-$4

Weather-$3

Politics-$2

NFL-$1

Golf-$1

eSports-$1

Economy-$1

Soccer (other)-$1

Crypto+$0

Biggest hit

+$3

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Toughest beat

-$1

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$14h ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$05h ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$05h ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$05h ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$05h ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$05h ago
Sold Yes · Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$05h ago
Bought Yes · Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$17h ago
Bought Yes · Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$17h ago
Sold Yes · Netanyahu out by July 31?$17h ago
Sold Yes · Netanyahu out by July 31?$08h ago
Sold Yes · Netanyahu out by July 31?$18h ago