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PancraceRoyer

Predicting since Jan 2026638 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $86K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $9.3K riding on Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026.

Biggest hit: +$27K on US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$9.3K93¢96¢+$340
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.2K84¢95¢+$525
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$2.8K63¢64¢+$8
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$1.8K91¢94¢+$50
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.7K94¢98¢+$71
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1.6K54¢56¢+$45
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$1.4K91¢95¢+$58
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1.1K53¢68¢+$290
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K63¢66¢+$50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.2K24¢26¢+$75
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$83021¢27¢+$237
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.3K29¢24¢-$226
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3606.0¢16¢+$573
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$1.2K29¢21¢-$347
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$99030¢21¢-$314
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1407.0¢31¢+$485
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?PoliticsYes$60080¢82¢+$15
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$57057¢56¢-$5
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$40450¢63¢+$109
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5088.5¢8.5¢-$1
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$46092¢95¢+$16
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?PoliticsYes$47595¢95¢-$3
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$46092¢85¢-$35
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?PoliticsYes$39591¢95¢+$14
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$30075¢88¢+$52
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$30060¢69¢+$45
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$30060¢66¢+$30
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$38577¢66¢-$58
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$42042¢33¢-$95
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$30075¢74¢-$4
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$32532¢30¢-$30
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23547¢57¢+$52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechYes$33055¢47¢-$51
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$16167¢80¢+$30
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$17889¢94¢+$9
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.0K21¢3.4¢-$862
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$14985¢96¢+$19
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$7638¢74¢+$71
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$11076¢97¢+$31
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsYes$66033¢6.5¢-$530
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$13347¢36¢-$32
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$7272¢99¢+$27
Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$11291¢79¢-$15
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?PoliticsYes$5959¢94¢+$35
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$6666¢87¢+$21
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$6879¢95¢+$13
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsYes$11457¢40¢-$34
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?CultureDune 3$536.1¢3.0¢-$27
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$390.6¢0.4¢-$16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$71741¢0.5¢-$707
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?PoliticsYes$467¢87¢+$1
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$3248.1¢0.1¢-$322
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$7379¢1.6¢-$71
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1686.2¢0.0¢-$168
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivaleSportsLGD GamingResolved$28836¢0.0¢-$288
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?CultureNoResolved$36631¢0.0¢-$366
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$15916¢0.0¢-$159
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnereSportsTeam SpiritResolved$49270¢0.0¢-$492
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSportsTeam LiquidResolved$3535¢0.0¢-$35
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$41521¢0.0¢-$415
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$73521¢0.0¢-$735
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$63422¢0.0¢-$634

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$86K
eSports+$5.1K
World Cup-$3.3K
Soccer (other)+$1.2K
Finance-$915
Economy-$618
Mentions-$577
Tech-$485
Other sports+$243
La Liga-$235
Culture+$209
NBA+$195
Biggest hit
+$27K
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$9.8K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$438d ago
  • Bought No · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$08d ago