Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Tech | Yes | $407 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$155 |
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $122 | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$27 |
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $120 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$11 |
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $121 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$7 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $116 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $102 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Weather | Yes | $91 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$7 |
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | No | $85 | 37¢ | 40¢ | +$6 |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $22 | 22¢ | 87¢ | +$65 |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $52 | 53¢ | 67¢ | +$14 |
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $62 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $25 | 25¢ | 44¢ | +$19 |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Tech | No | $37 | 62¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech | Yes | $30 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $25 | 65¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $32 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$6 |
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $21 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $18 | 60¢ | 75¢ | +$4 |
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 45¢ | +$13 |
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 39¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 73¢ | +$6 |
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $18 | 61¢ | 45¢ | -$5 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $16 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$4 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Culture | No | $17 | 84¢ | 63¢ | -$4 |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Tech | Yes | $13 | 22¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 20?Weather | No | $12 | 61¢ | 53¢ | -$2 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?Soccer (other) | No | $8 | 41¢ | 45¢ | +$1 |
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?Politics | Yes | $14 | 70¢ | 45¢ | -$5 |
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 43¢ | 59¢ | +$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 19?Weather | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
Will Grok 5 be released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$5 |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $26 | 8.7¢ | 2.5¢ | -$18 |
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 50¢ | +$4 |
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
Will Waymo launch in Portland, OR by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 6.5¢ | -$23 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 60¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $47 | 39¢ | 4.9¢ | -$41 |
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 28?Politics | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 4.7¢ | -$1 |
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 6.6¢ | 1.3¢ | -$18 |
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 1.5¢ | 1.7¢ | +$0 |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?Tech | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
Will Chapecoense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?Soccer (other) | No | $10 | 49¢ | 16¢ | -$7 |
Will Waymo launch in Minneapolis, MN by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Eric Oncins / Noe Khlif advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Other sports | No | $17 | 87¢ | 16¢ | -$14 |
Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Culture | Yes | $4 | 45¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 46¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $12 | 11¢ | 1.8¢ | -$10 |
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?Politics | No | $2 | 6.1¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 75¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $51 | 13¢ | 0.4¢ | -$49 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Finance | No | $3 | 11¢ | 4.4¢ | -$2 |
Will Waymo launch in London, UK by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
Will Waymo launch in Seattle, WA by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 2.6¢ | 0.2¢ | -$14 |
Will Chao Yi Wang advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Other sports | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will AJ Koller / Wyatt Stone advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Other sports | NoResolved | $2 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $91 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of September 14 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |