 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $20K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $15K | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $15K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $12K | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$1.4K |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $12K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $9.7K | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$1.0K |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $8.5K | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$520 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $8.3K | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$540 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $8.2K | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$33 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 20¢ | 53¢ | +$4.9K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3.0K | 20¢ | 47¢ | +$4.0K |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5.8K | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$904 |
 Trump out as President by September 30?Politics | No | $5.9K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $5.1K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$161 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $4.5K | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$125 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?Politics | No | $4.4K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$41 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3.4K | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$314 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3.0K | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $2.8K | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$83 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2.6K | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Politics | No | $1.9K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$40 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $1.9K | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$39 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $1.9K | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$39 |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$38 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1.7K | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$150 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $1.8K | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$111 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $1.8K | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$9 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $1.5K | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$94 |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$17 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Politics | No | $1.2K | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$86 |
 Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Politics | No | $1.0K | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$45 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?Culture | No | $926 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$65 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Politics | No | $974 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $982 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $860 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$112 |
| Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $920 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$46 |
 GTA VI released by November 30?Culture | Yes | $953 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$5 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $850 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$95 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $860 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$75 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $910 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$15 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $829 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$41 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $860 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
 Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $758 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$28 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $730 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$30 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $691 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$29 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $687 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $600 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$27 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $560 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$40 |
 Jonathan Majors as Kang?Culture | No | $400 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$20 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Politics | No | $304 | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$97 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Politics | No | $410 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$12 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $254 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$12 |
 Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $221 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$11 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $210 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
 Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $220 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $212 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Chase Infiniti be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Tech | No | $178 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Politics | No | $163 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?Politics | No | $138 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $660 | 66¢ | 14¢ | -$525 |
 Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?Politics | No | $122 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$12 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $128 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will George Clooney be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | No | $118 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?Politics | Yes | $113 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $112 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | No | $71 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $71 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Axel SolaResolved | $69 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $63 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $32 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Politics | No | $28 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $26 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $12 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $9 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump nationalize elections?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.0¢ | 2.2¢ | -$1 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 410m and 420m?Culture | YesResolved | $164 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$164 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 980m and 1000m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $261 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$261 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m?Culture | YesResolved | $404 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$404 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?Culture | YesResolved | $375 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$375 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 400m and 410m?Culture | YesResolved | $171 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$171 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $176 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?Culture | YesResolved | $385 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$385 |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 200m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $66 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
 Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Culture | YesResolved | $332 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$332 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?Culture | YesResolved | $453 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$453 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 1040m and 1060m by August 31?Culture | YesResolved | $273 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$273 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?Culture | YesResolved | $343 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$343 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 390m and 400m?Culture | YesResolved | $172 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?Culture | YesResolved | $110 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?Culture | YesResolved | $2.8K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |