← Whale Watch

ribelo

Predicting since Oct 2024146 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.5K on Tech markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $1.4K riding on Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$6075¢0.0¢-$60
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?PoliticsYesResolved$5042¢0.0¢-$50
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?TechNoResolved$52.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2080¢0.0¢-$20
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$157.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?TechYesResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?MentionsYesResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?TechYesResolved$10019¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$2021¢0.0¢-$20
Fed rate cut in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?TechNoResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell EditionPoliticsYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$7263¢0.0¢-$72
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?TechYesResolved$1.4K37¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?Soccer (other)NoResolved$8085¢0.0¢-$80
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2037¢0.0¢-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.4¢0.0¢-$100
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?TechNoResolved$10026¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$7054¢0.0¢-$70
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?TechYesResolved$8711¢0.0¢-$87
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?TechYesResolved$403.6¢0.0¢-$40
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?TechYesResolved$390.8¢0.0¢-$39

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$1.5K
Politics-$155
Soccer (other)-$143
Champions League-$17
Premier League+$13
La Liga+$11
Boxing-$10
Economy+$7
Serie A+$5
NFL+$5
Mentions-$4
Finance+$3
Biggest hit
+$206
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Toughest beat
-$203
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 17, 2026?$10311d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$06mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$356mo ago
  • Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1007mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$697mo ago
  • Sold No · Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$207mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$238mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$828mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$2268mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1008mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$3268mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1008mo ago