← Whale Watch

Ilan

Predicting since Aug 2024102 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$9010¢3.8¢-$56
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1028¢20¢-$3
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$511¢8.5¢-$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$2020¢3.6¢-$16
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$553¢38¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$531¢21¢-$2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$1540¢8.5¢-$12
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$529¢14¢-$3
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$517¢4.3¢-$4
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?PoliticsYesResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Kraken IPO in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$315¢0.0¢-$3
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15?PoliticsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?CryptoYesResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$50.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$627¢0.0¢-$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1041¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia in July?PoliticsYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?CryptoYesResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$31.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?CryptoYesResolved$417¢0.0¢-$4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$540¢0.0¢-$5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$24.1¢0.0¢-$2
US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$210.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$64.0¢0.0¢-$6
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?PoliticsYesResolved$143¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?PoliticsYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$615¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Weed rescheduled in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$16.2¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$815¢0.0¢-$8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$631¢0.0¢-$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?PoliticsYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$251.5¢0.0¢-$25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$532¢0.0¢-$5
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1220¢0.0¢-$12
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$532¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$555¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?PoliticsYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Iran leadership change by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1046¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$149
Culture+$46
Crypto+$40
Economy+$15
World Cup-$7
Biggest hit
+$126
XRP all time high before 2026?
Toughest beat
-$20
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?

Recent moves

  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$55d ago
  • Bought Yes · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$55d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$57d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$107d ago
  • Sold Yes · Norway to score first vs. England?$1314d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$515d ago
  • Bought Yes · Norway to score first vs. England?$515d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?$515d ago
  • Sold Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Norway to score first vs. Brazil?$3020d ago
  • Bought Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Norway to score first vs. Brazil?$1021d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$712mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?$12mo ago