Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $210 | 54¢ | 34¢ | -$79 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 18¢ | 42¢ | +$53 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $80 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$11 |
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics | No | $78 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 27¢ | 56¢ | +$33 |
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $115 | 28¢ | 8.5¢ | -$80 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 32¢ | 99¢ | +$21 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $49 | 32¢ | 20¢ | -$19 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $30 | 58¢ | 48¢ | -$5 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $20 | 77¢ | 91¢ | +$3 |
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 18¢ | 27¢ | +$5 |
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 17¢ | 4.7¢ | -$4 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionPolitics | YesResolved | $300 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 82¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Crypto | ETHResolved | $10 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Ripple ETF approved by July 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?Crypto | NoResolved | $20 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
Obama federally charged in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Tucker Carlson federally charged?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?Crypto | DownResolved | $30 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?Economy | YesResolved | $40 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?Crypto | NoResolved | $20 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Tech | NoResolved | $40 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $325 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$325 |
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $520 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$520 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?Crypto | UpResolved | $17 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
US government shutdown in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $50 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?Crypto | NoResolved | $10 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Macron out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $35 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 22-24 ET?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Doge ETF approved in 2025?Crypto | NoResolved | $50 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Joe Biden make an appearance by October 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |