← Whale Watch

PaveR

Predicting since Nov 2023518 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.4K on Politics markets since Nov 2023.

Right now: $520 riding on Ireland Presidential Election.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$21054¢34¢-$79
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$4018¢42¢+$53
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$8091¢95¢+$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7086¢99¢+$11
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?PoliticsNo$7894¢95¢+$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3027¢56¢+$33
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$6098¢99¢+$0
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4096¢99¢+$1
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4098¢99¢+$1
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4098¢99¢+$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3595¢95¢-$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$11528¢8.5¢-$80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1032¢99¢+$21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4932¢20¢-$19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$3058¢48¢-$5
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$2077¢91¢+$3
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2097¢99¢+$0
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2090¢92¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1018¢27¢+$5
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1089¢93¢+$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$517¢4.7¢-$4
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionPoliticsYesResolved$30066¢0.0¢-$300
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$3082¢0.0¢-$30
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1860¢0.0¢-$18
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5032¢0.0¢-$50
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$5029¢0.0¢-$50
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?CryptoETHResolved$1063¢0.0¢-$10
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$159.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1537¢0.0¢-$15
Ripple ETF approved by July 31?CryptoYesResolved$541¢0.0¢-$5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?PoliticsYesResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$2059¢0.0¢-$20
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$416.0¢0.0¢-$41
Obama federally charged in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$507.3¢0.0¢-$50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20
Tucker Carlson federally charged?PoliticsYesResolved$52.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1154¢0.0¢-$11
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?PoliticsYesResolved$1011¢0.0¢-$10
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$58.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$103.9¢0.0¢-$10
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5068¢0.0¢-$50
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before August?PoliticsYesResolved$1027¢0.0¢-$10
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1075¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?CryptoDownResolved$3032¢0.0¢-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2031¢0.0¢-$20
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?EconomyYesResolved$4011¢0.0¢-$40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$2053¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? PoliticsNoResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$3069¢0.0¢-$30
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?TechYesResolved$1016¢0.0¢-$10
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?TechNoResolved$4042¢0.0¢-$40
Iran leadership change by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$55.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1003.9¢0.0¢-$100
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?CultureYesResolved$208.1¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$3255.2¢0.0¢-$325
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1020¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$102.9¢0.0¢-$10
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?PoliticsNoResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1023¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$4015¢0.0¢-$40
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$5204.3¢0.0¢-$520
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3034¢0.0¢-$30
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?CryptoUpResolved$171.8¢0.0¢-$17
US government shutdown in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$4074¢0.0¢-$40
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$5042¢0.0¢-$50
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?TechYesResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Will Kanye launch a coin in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$1084¢0.0¢-$10
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?PoliticsYesResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 19-21 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$4422¢0.0¢-$44
Macron out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$149.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$35.7¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?PoliticsNoResolved$2054¢0.0¢-$20
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?PoliticsNoResolved$1067¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$3534¢0.0¢-$35
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1070¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1057¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 22-24 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$21035¢0.0¢-$210
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3024¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$2055¢0.0¢-$20
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Doge ETF approved in 2025?CryptoNoResolved$5074¢0.0¢-$50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?PoliticsYesResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
Will Joe Biden make an appearance by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1035¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2042¢0.0¢-$20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? PoliticsYesResolved$5053¢0.0¢-$50
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2035¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.4K
Tech-$641
Crypto-$161
Mentions+$117
Other sports+$115
World Cup-$65
Economy+$60
Culture-$20
Weather+$10
Biggest hit
+$264
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$500
Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will the method of victory for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain Win: Regular Time?$466d ago
  • Bought No · Will the method of victory for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be Spain Win: Regular Time?$316d ago
  • Bought Argentina · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$516d ago