wavecrestcycle

Predicting since May 202524 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$215	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$215
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Politics	YesResolved	$100	4.1¢	0.0¢	-$100
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Politics	YesResolved	$100	29¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$100	42¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Weather	YesResolved	$91	11¢	0.0¢	-$91
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$50	61¢	0.0¢	-$50
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?Politics	YesResolved	$50	13¢	0.0¢	-$50
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$10
Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July?Politics	YesResolved	$44	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$44
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$100	80¢	0.0¢	-$100
Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?Politics	YesResolved	$20	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$50	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Politics	YesResolved	$93	37¢	0.0¢	-$93
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Politics	YesResolved	$50	31¢	0.0¢	-$50

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$141

Weather-$91

Culture-$40

Biggest hit

+$423

US military action against Iran before July?

Toughest beat

-$40

Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?

Bought Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2156mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$2156mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$22710mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$27610mo ago
Bought Yes · U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$5011mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$931y ago
Cashed out Yes · US military action against Iran before August?$6761y ago
Sold Yes · US military action against Iran by Saturday?$1001y ago
Bought Yes · US military action against Iran by Saturday?$1001y ago
Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$171y ago
Sold No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$3011y ago
Bought Yes · US military action against Iran before August?$4191y ago