baugusto

Predicting since Jan 202662 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics	No	$2	90¢	100¢	+$0
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	NoResolved	$13	40¢	0.0¢	-$13
US government shutdown Saturday?Politics	NoResolved	$31	12¢	0.0¢	-$31
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$5	32¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$25	78¢	0.0¢	-$25
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)NBA	LakersResolved	$15	48¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics	YesResolved	$100	42¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Tech	YesResolved	$15	69¢	0.0¢	-$15
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA	PimblettResolved	$5	69¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?Other sports	YesResolved	$15	22¢	0.0¢	-$15
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$15	10¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?Premier League	YesResolved	$5	17¢	0.0¢	-$5

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$69

Tech-$19

Other sports-$15

Premier League+$8

Culture+$7

Finance+$6

NBA-$6

UFC / MMA-$5

World Cup-$1

Economy+$0

Biggest hit

+$47

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Toughest beat

-$14

Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?

Sold Yes · Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$07mo ago
Sold Yes · Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$118mo ago
Sold Yes · Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?$108mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$148mo ago
Sold Yes · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$158mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$158mo ago
Sold No · Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?$168mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$198mo ago
Sold No · Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? $198mo ago
Sold No · 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?$248mo ago
Sold No · Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$298mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$378mo ago