← Whale Watch

15rob

Predicting since Nov 20259,627 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$3928¢37¢+$12
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$34.8¢20¢+$10
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$12.0¢14¢+$8
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?No$16.0¢40¢+$7
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?PoliticsYes$95.5¢4.4¢-$2
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$410¢19¢+$3
Will Plasma reach $0.50 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$520¢29¢+$2
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$558¢80¢+$2
Will Kinetiq reach $0.5 before 2027?CryptoNo$443¢68¢+$2
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechNo$332¢72¢+$3
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?EconomyNo$448¢68¢+$2
Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMANo$570¢79¢+$1
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?PoliticsYes$54.5¢5.3¢+$1
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$568¢72¢+$0
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?CryptoYes$617¢16¢-$1
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$590¢94¢+$0
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$458¢69¢+$1
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$580¢86¢+$0
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?CultureNo$579¢85¢+$0
Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$596¢99¢+$0
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoYes$69.1¢7.6¢-$1
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$585¢86¢+$0
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$597¢100¢+$0
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$597¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?PoliticsNo$582¢83¢+$0
Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026?EconomyNo$593¢97¢+$0
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$10.9¢8.3¢+$4
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$591¢100¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$597¢97¢+$0
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$597¢100¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-17 House seat?PoliticsNo$587¢87¢-$0
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1499.99 at the end of December 2026?PoliticsNo$483¢99¢+$1
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$470¢99¢+$1
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsNo$474¢99¢+$1
Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$596¢94¢-$0
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 8?PoliticsNo$590¢98¢+$0
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?TechNo$336¢61¢+$2
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$592¢90¢-$0
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$492¢100¢+$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?FinanceNo$582¢80¢-$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?PoliticsNo$359¢100¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$596¢97¢+$0
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?EconomyNo$483¢96¢+$1
Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027?PoliticsNo$364¢96¢+$2
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$489¢96¢+$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢96¢+$0
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?PoliticsNo$595¢96¢+$0
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$597¢93¢-$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?PoliticsNo$481¢96¢+$1
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$484¢96¢+$1
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$481¢95¢+$1
Solana all time high by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$488¢96¢+$0
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$552¢53¢+$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?EconomyNo$594¢94¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$482¢97¢+$1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?EconomyNo$490¢96¢+$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$369¢94¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?PoliticsYes$593¢95¢+$0
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 10?PoliticsNo$595¢93¢-$0
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsNo$247¢90¢+$2
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?EconomyNo$581¢75¢-$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$484¢93¢+$0
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsNo$488¢92¢+$0
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?PoliticsNo$484¢93¢+$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$473¢93¢+$1
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?EconomyNo$481¢93¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$485¢90¢+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?PoliticsNo$480¢92¢+$1
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?CryptoNo$479¢95¢+$1
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$491¢99¢+$0
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsNo$481¢92¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$487¢91¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$480¢92¢+$1
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$492¢99¢+$0
OKX IPO in 2026?CryptoNo$481¢91¢+$0
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$487¢91¢+$0
Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$590¢91¢+$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$484¢91¢+$0
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?PoliticsNo$480¢91¢+$1
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$358¢92¢+$2
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?EconomyNo$592¢90¢-$0
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$494¢96¢+$0
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$570¢65¢-$0
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsNo$486¢92¢+$0
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$03.0¢41¢+$4
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$480¢85¢+$0
Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$11.8¢7.7¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$492¢94¢+$0
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$497¢100¢+$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?PoliticsNo$472¢85¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$480¢88¢+$0
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$483¢88¢+$0
Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?UFC / MMAYes$482¢85¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?PoliticsNo$484¢88¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$480¢88¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$489¢91¢+$0
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$122¢90¢+$3
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$481¢87¢+$0
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$481¢87¢+$0
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoNo$481¢87¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$187
Economy+$119
Crypto+$114
Tech+$100
eSports+$67
NBA+$41
Weather+$38
Basketball (other)+$36
Finance-$26
Culture+$18
Mentions+$16
Formula 1+$15
Biggest hit
+$87
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Toughest beat
-$13
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?$118m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$141m ago
  • Bought Yes · Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?$059m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$01h ago
  • Sold No · Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$52h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$04h ago
  • Sold No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$44h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$54h ago
  • Bought Yes · Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?$15h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026?$15h ago
  • Bought No · Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$37h ago
  • Bought Yes · Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?$38h ago