 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $3.5K | 24¢ | 71¢ | +$6.6K |
 Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $3.0K | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$514 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.8K | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$103 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.2K | 61¢ | 75¢ | +$478 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $2.2K | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$35 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $520 | 5.2¢ | 13¢ | +$805 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $1.4K | 46¢ | 43¢ | -$80 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $798 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$81 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | No | $1.5K | 76¢ | 41¢ | -$699 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 12¢ | 8.0¢ | -$425 |
 Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Culture | Yes | $470 | 47¢ | 76¢ | +$290 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1.0K | 10¢ | 7.6¢ | -$257 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 36¢ | 11¢ | -$1.8K |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | No | $269 | 37¢ | 89¢ | +$378 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.2K | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$600 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $221 | 37¢ | 81¢ | +$263 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $200 | 20¢ | 48¢ | +$281 |
 Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $678 | 15¢ | 11¢ | -$200 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | Yes | $285 | 23¢ | 35¢ | +$146 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $465 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$55 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $310 | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$47 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $222 | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$129 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | No | $290 | 58¢ | 67¢ | +$43 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Tech | OpenAI | $264 | 8.0¢ | 9.0¢ | +$33 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $275 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$13 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $410 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$133 |
 Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?Tech | Yes | $73 | 12¢ | 45¢ | +$200 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $540 | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$280 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | Yes | $159 | 6.6¢ | 11¢ | +$100 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $285 | 57¢ | 51¢ | -$33 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Tech | Yes | $113 | 45¢ | 65¢ | +$49 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $123 | 2.5¢ | 2.1¢ | -$16 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $550 | 9.2¢ | 1.7¢ | -$451 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $280 | 56¢ | 20¢ | -$182 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Tech | Yes | $66 | 9.3¢ | 13¢ | +$22 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 2.3¢ | 2.8¢ | +$12 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $70 | 7.0¢ | 5.9¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | Yes | $37 | 30¢ | 37¢ | +$8 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $44 | 22¢ | 20¢ | -$4 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $72 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$37 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $612 | 20¢ | 0.8¢ | -$589 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $7 | 0.4¢ | 1.0¢ | +$10 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 7.4¢ | 4.0¢ | -$7 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 26¢ | 9.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $3 | 0.6¢ | 1.4¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $25 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $290 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$290 |
 Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.8K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $277 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$277 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | YesResolved | $468 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$468 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $238 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$238 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | YesResolved | $307 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$307 |
 Will "Sorry" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $22 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $108 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $509 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$509 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $792 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$792 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3.1K | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $225 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $181 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$181 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $660 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$660 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.3K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $329 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$329 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4.2K | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.2K |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $90 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $80 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $350 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $396 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$396 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $102 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $13 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | YesResolved | $226 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$226 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $180 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
 Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $540 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$540 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $214 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$214 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?Politics | YesResolved | $90 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Tech | NoResolved | $888 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$888 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $216 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$216 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will "4 Minutes" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $28 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $971 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$971 |
 Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $587 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$587 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | YesResolved | $170 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
 Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $51 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $755 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$755 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $524 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$524 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |