 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7.0K | 70¢ | 81¢ | +$1.1K |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | Yes | $4.3K | 46¢ | 85¢ | +$3.6K |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $3.4K | 24¢ | 49¢ | +$3.4K |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.8K | 53¢ | 74¢ | +$729 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$235 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$35 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $1.3K | 37¢ | 32¢ | -$207 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $520 | 5.2¢ | 8.5¢ | +$330 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $680 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$24 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $540 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$40 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $584 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$160 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $410 | 21¢ | 20¢ | -$17 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | Yes | $334 | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$31 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $490 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$160 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $280 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$7 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $222 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$53 |
 AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Tech | No | $185 | 23¢ | 31¢ | +$60 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $225 | 45¢ | 44¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $124 | 2.5¢ | 3.0¢ | +$29 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $186 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$86 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $70 | 70¢ | 97¢ | +$27 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Tech | Yes | $307 | 3.1¢ | 0.5¢ | -$252 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $181 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$133 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $396 | 7.7¢ | 0.7¢ | -$361 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $100 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$67 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 26¢ | 32¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $25 | 4.3¢ | 2.9¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 7.4¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 0.3¢ | 0.9¢ | +$11 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 2.3¢ | 0.9¢ | -$16 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $290 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$290 |
 Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.8K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will "Sorry" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $22 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $108 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Politics | YesResolved | $509 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$509 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $792 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$792 |
| Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3.1K | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.1K |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $225 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $130 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $181 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$181 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1.5K | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K |
 Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $660 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$660 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.3K | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.3K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $329 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$329 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $4.2K | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.2K |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $90 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $350 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $102 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
 Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $540 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$540 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $214 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$214 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Tech | NoResolved | $888 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$888 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $1.6K | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will "4 Minutes" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $971 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$971 |
 Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $600 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
 Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $100 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $755 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$755 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $524 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$524 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2.2K | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $140 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
| Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $404 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$404 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1.8K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $454 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$454 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $70 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Tech | YesResolved | $180 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$180 |
 Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World Cup | YesResolved | $242 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$242 |
| Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $382 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$382 |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?World Cup | YesResolved | $1.1K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
| Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | NoResolved | $232 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$232 |
| Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | NoResolved | $279 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$279 |
| Will 4 Minutes be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?World Cup | YesResolved | $18 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $560 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$560 |