Pernik

Predicting since Apr 202626 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics	NoResolved	$2	39¢	100¢	+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	NoResolved	$1	58¢	100¢	+$1
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	95¢	100¢	+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$4	26¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	3.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$3	43¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	11¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Economy	NoResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	6.9¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$2	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Politics	NoResolved	$1	17¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Culture	YesResolved	$1	37¢	0.0¢	-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Politics	YesResolved	$1	20¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	36¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$31

Tech-$11

Culture-$2

Economy-$1

Biggest hit

+$40

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$2

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$520d ago
Bought No · Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$21mo ago
Bought No · US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$22mo ago
Bought No · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?$12mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$32mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$42mo ago
Bought Yes · James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?$12mo ago
Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$32mo ago
Cashed out No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$502mo ago