 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $238 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $237 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $212 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$16 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | Yes | $173 | 60¢ | 78¢ | +$52 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | Yes | $214 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$6 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Politics | No | $98 | 49¢ | 98¢ | +$98 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $128 | 64¢ | 98¢ | +$67 |
 Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?Culture | No | $203 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$9 |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $168 | 56¢ | 63¢ | +$19 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $160 | 64¢ | 62¢ | -$6 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $142 | 58¢ | 59¢ | +$2 |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $172 | 75¢ | 60¢ | -$34 |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix <30%?Finance | Yes | $123 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
| Will Max Holloway fight Justin Gaethje next?Other | No | $134 | 89¢ | 81¢ | -$13 |
 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | No | $139 | 81¢ | 64¢ | -$29 |
| Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | No | $76 | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$31 |
 Will T1 make a roster change before September?eSports | No | $94 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 92¢ | 80¢ | -$15 |
| Will Trump post "Pope" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | No | $105 | 84¢ | 75¢ | -$11 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | No | $92 | 81¢ | 80¢ | -$2 |
 Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change before September?eSports | No | $39 | 39¢ | 81¢ | +$42 |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $100 | 49¢ | 40¢ | -$19 |
| Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?eSports | Yes | $93 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$12 |
 Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | No | $61 | 41¢ | 54¢ | +$19 |
 Will BGC Partners (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $65 | 39¢ | 47¢ | +$13 |
 Will Chime Financial (CHYM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $90 | 81¢ | 71¢ | -$12 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | No | $79 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
| Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $78 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
 QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $73 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$4 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $95 | 76¢ | 61¢ | -$19 |
 Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | No | $90 | 78¢ | 65¢ | -$15 |
 Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $46 | 51¢ | 79¢ | +$25 |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $72 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $70 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in June?Economy | No | $46 | 60¢ | 93¢ | +$25 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $83 | 66¢ | 55¢ | -$14 |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?Finance | Yes | $92 | 41¢ | 30¢ | -$26 |
 Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $66 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?MLB | No | $70 | 55¢ | 51¢ | -$5 |
| Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Politics | No | $45 | 64¢ | 91¢ | +$19 |
| Will Steve Friess be the WY-AL Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $78 | 31¢ | 26¢ | -$14 |
| Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | No | $86 | 86¢ | 64¢ | -$23 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $76 | 38¢ | 32¢ | -$13 |
| Will Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | Yes | $65 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$6 |
 Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?Finance | No | $63 | 93¢ | 86¢ | -$5 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | Yes | $135 | 45¢ | 18¢ | -$83 |
| Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?Mentions | No | $97 | 71¢ | 39¢ | -$44 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 59¢ | 52¢ | -$8 |
 Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $53 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $72 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$23 |
| Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $50 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$1 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$10 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Politics | Yes | $102 | 35¢ | 16¢ | -$55 |
| Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 10.5%-11.5%?Finance | No | $50 | 67¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $22 | 11¢ | 22¢ | +$23 |
| CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?Finance | Yes | $99 | 33¢ | 15¢ | -$54 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $15 | 9.1¢ | 27¢ | +$30 |
| Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Soccer (other) | No | $45 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Meta (META) Q2 average price per ad growth 12%-15%?Finance | No | $46 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31?Politics | Yes | $42 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMA | Yes | $95 | 68¢ | 31¢ | -$53 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $40 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
 Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?MLB | Yes | $39 | 51¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
| Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $47 | 79¢ | 68¢ | -$7 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $62 | 62¢ | 41¢ | -$22 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $34 | 68¢ | 80¢ | +$6 |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Weather | No | $37 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$3 |
| Will Madonna's monthly listeners figure hit 58m by August 31?Culture | No | $31 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$9 |
 Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $40 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $32 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
 Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?Other | No | $46 | 71¢ | 59¢ | -$8 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | Yes | $36 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$2 |
 Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Politics | No | $35 | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $37 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $54 | 36¢ | 25¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $22 | 56¢ | 90¢ | +$14 |
| Will Trump say "Whale" in July?Mentions | No | $35 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $29 | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$6 |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $32 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $23 | 52¢ | 76¢ | +$11 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $36 | 23¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$3 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $30 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $44 | 21¢ | 16¢ | -$11 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $32 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Politics | No | $32 | 63¢ | 63¢ | -$0 |
| Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.5B?Finance | Yes | $32 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $42 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$12 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $43 | 62¢ | 42¢ | -$14 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $30 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | No | $25 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Will Baltimore Ravens finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?NFL | Yes | $34 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$6 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $27 | 70¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $50 | 48¢ | 26¢ | -$24 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?Tech | No | $21 | 42¢ | 53¢ | +$5 |
 Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?MLB | Yes | $26 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $26 | 41¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?eSports | Yes | $6 | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 6.0¢ | 8.3¢ | +$7 |
Bought No · Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?$711m ago