 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $275 | 79¢ | 77¢ | -$8 |
 Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?La Liga | No | $255 | 85¢ | 75¢ | -$30 |
 Will Sal Stewart lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?MLB | Yes | $229 | 57¢ | 55¢ | -$7 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $184 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$12 |
 Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $177 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$18 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $197 | 63¢ | 60¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Liberals (L) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $172 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$10 |
 Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $184 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$8 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $169 | 58¢ | 60¢ | +$4 |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $161 | 46¢ | 49¢ | +$11 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $149 | 47¢ | 49¢ | +$4 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $72 | 37¢ | 79¢ | +$81 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Politics | Yes | $141 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?Politics | No | $150 | 70¢ | 66¢ | -$10 |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $151 | 53¢ | 49¢ | -$12 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?Finance | No | $152 | 75¢ | 67¢ | -$17 |
 Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $122 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
 Will SNSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Politics | Yes | $105 | 65¢ | 80¢ | +$24 |
 Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Politics | No | $173 | 55¢ | 40¢ | -$49 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $124 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $118 | 68¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the popular vote in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election by 7-10%?Politics | Yes | $126 | 43¢ | 41¢ | -$6 |
 Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Tech | No | $222 | 83¢ | 43¢ | -$108 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics | Yes | $107 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$5 |
| Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $107 | 58¢ | 61¢ | +$5 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $95 | 56¢ | 66¢ | +$16 |
 Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $105 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$5 |
 Will Geneviève Hébert win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $78 | 37¢ | 52¢ | +$31 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $133 | 62¢ | 50¢ | -$26 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?Economy | No | $123 | 79¢ | 69¢ | -$16 |
 Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?Bundesliga | No | $109 | 87¢ | 83¢ | -$5 |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Politics | Yes | $92 | 54¢ | 61¢ | +$12 |
 Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?Tech | No | $132 | 58¢ | 44¢ | -$33 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?Economy | No | $98 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $93 | 48¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $167 | 49¢ | 28¢ | -$70 |
 Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $87 | 50¢ | 55¢ | +$8 |
 Will Notre Dame have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | Yes | $96 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
 Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Tech | No | $102 | 78¢ | 73¢ | -$7 |
 Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?MLS | No | $142 | 53¢ | 35¢ | -$49 |
 LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?UFC / MMA | Yes | $76 | 77¢ | 94¢ | +$17 |
 Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Politics | No | $85 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$7 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $90 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Politics | No | $89 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
| Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Culture | No | $98 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?Politics | No | $87 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $110 | 38¢ | 31¢ | -$20 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $90 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$3 |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Tech | No | $82 | 57¢ | 60¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $107 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$22 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?Economy | No | $94 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?Politics | No | $82 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $70 | 39¢ | 47¢ | +$13 |
 Will Georgia be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?Other sports | Yes | $47 | 39¢ | 69¢ | +$36 |
 Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $119 | 70¢ | 48¢ | -$37 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Tech | Yes | $89 | 44¢ | 41¢ | -$8 |
 Will Adailton Furia win the 2026 Rondônia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $86 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$4 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Economy | No | $85 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $92 | 37¢ | 32¢ | -$12 |
 Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $150 | 43¢ | 23¢ | -$70 |
 Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?Politics | No | $57 | 32¢ | 45¢ | +$23 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | No | $82 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $82 | 65¢ | 63¢ | -$3 |
 Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $82 | 58¢ | 55¢ | -$5 |
 Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $121 | 51¢ | 33¢ | -$43 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $75 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthony Joshua rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?Tech | No | $87 | 87¢ | 76¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?Politics | Yes | $73 | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Politics | No | $120 | 71¢ | 45¢ | -$44 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 73¢ | 99¢ | +$20 |
 Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $72 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $73 | 76¢ | 78¢ | +$2 |
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $77 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
| Will Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?Culture | No | $73 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $71 | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$2 |
 Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsTennis | No | $82 | 71¢ | 62¢ | -$10 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?Economy | Yes | $66 | 36¢ | 40¢ | +$6 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $76 | 57¢ | 55¢ | -$4 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 61¢ | 59¢ | -$3 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Politics | No | $85 | 35¢ | 30¢ | -$14 |
| Will Texas Tech have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?College Football | No | $77 | 80¢ | 73¢ | -$7 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $107 | 56¢ | 37¢ | -$37 |
 Will Trump praise Roger Penske in September?Politics | No | $60 | 52¢ | 60¢ | +$9 |
 Will Aécio Neves win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Politics | No | $66 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Politics | No | $68 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $78 | 41¢ | 36¢ | -$10 |
 Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?UFC / MMA | No | $70 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $67 | 65¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?Politics | No | $70 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$3 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Tech | No | $93 | 62¢ | 44¢ | -$27 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $57 | 56¢ | 65¢ | +$9 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $76 | 42¢ | 37¢ | -$10 |
 Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?Politics | Yes | $100 | 54¢ | 36¢ | -$34 |
 TownSquare FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $72 | 86¢ | 79¢ | -$6 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $72 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$7 |
| Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $63 | 63¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
 Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $66 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$3 |
 Will Eyüpspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?Soccer (other) | No | $101 | 73¢ | 46¢ | -$38 |
Bought Yes · Will Teplice be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?$91m ago
Bought Yes · Will Athletico Paranaense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?$57m ago
Bought No · Israel military action against Lebanon on September 13?$29m ago
Bought Yes · Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?$310m ago
Bought No · Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?$2612m ago
MERGE Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?$4014m ago
Bought Yes · Will FC Lausanne-Sport be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?$515m ago