 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $18K | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$2.6K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5.7K | 31¢ | 45¢ | +$2.6K |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $5.0K | 61¢ | 68¢ | +$492 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2.5K | 52¢ | 67¢ | +$732 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $4.0K | 5.5¢ | 2.9¢ | -$1.9K |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $1.9K | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$87 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $1.0K | 10.0¢ | 12¢ | +$157 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2.0K | 31¢ | 13¢ | -$1.2K |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $770 | 2.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$83 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $550 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$125 |
 Will United Russia win the next Kaliningrad Oblast Parliament elections?Politics | Yes | $573 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$74 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $284 | 43¢ | 84¢ | +$269 |
 Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $328 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$19 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $345 | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$67 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $262 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$21 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $123 | 11¢ | 8.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $23 | 3.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$18 |
 Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | NoResolved | $717 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$717 |
 Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Politics | YesResolved | $97 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$97 |
 Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $76 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $647 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$647 |
 Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $309 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$309 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $89 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | YesResolved | $1.9K | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $142 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $1.2K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6.1K | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.1K |
 Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $138 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$138 |
 Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $662 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$662 |
 Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $161 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$161 |
 Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Politics | NoResolved | $3.2K | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.2K |
 Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | NoResolved | $1.7K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2.5K | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
 Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?Politics | YesResolved | $142 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$142 |
 Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | YesResolved | $1.7K | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.7K |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $696 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$696 |
 Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $4.6K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.6K |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will Callie Barr be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $546 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$546 |
 Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $103 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.4K | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K |
 Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $503 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$503 |
 Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?Politics | YesResolved | $43 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $2.8K | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
 Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $765 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$765 |
 Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by 20–25%?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1.1K | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $722 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$722 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $245 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
| Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | YesResolved | $1.4K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
| Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | NoResolved | $224 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$224 |
 Will Eliott Rodriguez be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $264 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$264 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $99 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$99 |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | YesResolved | $641 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$641 |
 Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?Politics | YesResolved | $824 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$824 |
 Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?Politics | YesResolved | $73 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Politics | YesResolved | $620 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$620 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $636 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$636 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Politics | YesResolved | $663 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$663 |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $170 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| Will Robin Peguero be the FL-27 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $149 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee?Politics | NoResolved | $2.7K | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.7K |
| Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Politics | NoResolved | $3.5K | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.5K |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $336 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$336 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $730 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$730 |
 Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
