 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$25 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 25¢ | 11¢ | -$11 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $15 | 18¢ | 4.4¢ | -$11 |
 Will 0 judges rule in favor of Trump's Tarriffs?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Cashed out No · Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$215mo ago
Sold No · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$265mo ago
Cashed out No · Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$75mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?$85mo ago