← Whale Watch

lineth

Predicting since Nov 2024898 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $33K on Politics markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $9.7K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$13K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$9.7K61¢99¢+$6.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$6.9K46¢42¢-$706
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$4.1K86¢85¢-$72
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$2.7K90¢99¢+$268
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$2.4K76¢73¢-$111
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$1.1K35¢52¢+$529
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsNo$79451¢75¢+$375
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by July 30?PoliticsNo$92694¢98¢+$30
Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$67193¢100¢+$47
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$46363¢94¢+$233
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsYes$64684¢89¢+$38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$85262¢48¢-$183
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$61192¢99¢+$46
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$46280¢87¢+$40
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$47382¢83¢+$6
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?PoliticsYes$46280¢83¢+$14
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$47983¢82¢-$6
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$45779¢81¢+$14
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?PoliticsYes$43473¢78¢+$29
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$44477¢78¢+$3
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$39869¢72¢+$17
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$39238¢41¢+$22
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$36664¢72¢+$46
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsNo$39960¢62¢+$10
Will the Republican Party win the NY-24 House seat?PoliticsYes$32384¢87¢+$10
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$27036¢41¢+$34
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?PoliticsNo$30468¢68¢-$2
Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$25786¢94¢+$25
Will Mike Bouchard be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsYes$23583¢98¢+$44
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?PoliticsNo$21469¢82¢+$42
First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?PoliticsNo$22974¢83¢+$25
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Other sportsNo$16618¢26¢+$74
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by September 30?PoliticsNo$18772¢92¢+$51
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$26337¢32¢-$41
California voter ID referendum passes?PoliticsYes$9221¢47¢+$113
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$44028¢12¢-$252
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?PoliticsNo$18088¢91¢+$5
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-21 House seat?PoliticsNo$16586¢90¢+$7
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$21041¢34¢-$39
Will Montana have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$15891¢99¢+$13
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?PoliticsYes$20670¢57¢-$38
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$15418¢20¢+$13
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$15279¢86¢+$14
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$16385¢85¢-$1
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?PoliticsYes$17973¢65¢-$20
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$15681¢83¢+$4
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$14477¢84¢+$13
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$15480¢82¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$15279¢79¢+$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsNo$10950¢69¢+$41
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$5925¢64¢+$92
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?PoliticsYes$14073¢75¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?PoliticsNo$13872¢75¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$13168¢73¢+$10
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?PoliticsNo$15581¢70¢-$21
Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09?PoliticsNo$12086¢95¢+$12
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsNo$1243.9¢4.2¢+$8
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$12887¢88¢+$1
Will North Carolina have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$10883¢97¢+$17
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$15235¢28¢-$33
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$11036¢36¢-$1
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyYes$20735¢17¢-$109
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$25715¢5.5¢-$160
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsNo$9176¢78¢+$2
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$6562¢87¢+$27
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$6825¢33¢+$23
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$8488¢89¢+$1
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?PoliticsNo$7690¢99¢+$8
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$7780¢88¢+$7
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$7270¢77¢+$7
Blue wave in 2026?PoliticsNo$4514¢25¢+$32
Will Latonya Reeves be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsNo$7087¢94¢+$5
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$7272¢71¢-$1
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$00.1¢18¢+$69
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$6471¢77¢+$5
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$29528¢6.5¢-$227
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?PoliticsNo$5756¢64¢+$8
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$5685¢92¢+$5
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?CultureNo$6530¢28¢-$5
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsNo$2615¢31¢+$27
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$9411¢6.0¢-$43
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?PoliticsYes$3870¢92¢+$12
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5552¢46¢-$7
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$11220¢8.1¢-$66
Will Trump Airport become law this year?PoliticsNo$4184¢94¢+$5
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$4467¢68¢+$0
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$4846¢41¢-$5
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?PoliticsYes$1428¢86¢+$29
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$3322¢27¢+$7
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$768.9¢4.6¢-$37
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsYes$3843¢44¢+$1
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$3076¢99¢+$9
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by less than 20%?PoliticsYes$4612¢9.6¢-$8
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3713¢13¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$3669¢67¢-$1
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYes$499.0¢6.2¢-$15
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026?PoliticsNo$2358¢75¢+$7
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$2611¢13¢+$4
Will Fred Heurtebise win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?PoliticsNo$2375¢100¢+$7
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?CultureNo$1953¢83¢+$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$33K
Boxing+$18K
Mentions+$5.2K
Tech+$3.6K
World Cup+$2.5K
Crypto+$2.1K
Culture+$1.7K
NFL-$1.2K
Formula 1-$956
Weather+$716
College Football+$251
NBA+$218
Biggest hit
+$13K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$6.0K
Will inflation increase by 2.8% or more in November?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?$732h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$2171d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$2301d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$2671d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$1012d ago
  • Bought No · Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$42d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$252d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$4802d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2812d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3702d ago
  • Bought No · U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$122d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3022d ago