thearck

Predicting since Oct 202566 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 7?Weather	YesResolved	$3	0.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 6?Weather	YesResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	2.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture	NoResolved	$1	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 7?Weather	YesResolved	$5	17¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on October 27?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$6	51¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?Politics	NoResolved	$1	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?La Liga	NoResolved	$5	27¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$6	5.9¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Solana be above $220 on October 27?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?Culture	YesResolved	$1	1.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 27?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?Champions League	YesResolved	$7	38¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 6?Weather	YesResolved	$11	3.0¢	0.0¢	-$11
Will Trump visit China by October 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Grokipedia released by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$1	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$16	15¢	0.0¢	-$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 6?Weather	YesResolved	$20	8.6¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the price of Solana be above $240 on October 27?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	0.2¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 5?Weather	YesResolved	$3	10¢	0.0¢	-$3
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	NoResolved	$2	16¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Lionel Messi: 4+ shotsWorld Cup	YesResolved	$1	0.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 27?Crypto	NoResolved	$2	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 27?Crypto	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?Weather	YesResolved	$4	33¢	0.0¢	-$4
Blue Jackets vs. CanucksNHL	Blue JacketsResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?World Cup	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$39

Crypto-$20

Weather-$14

Champions League-$7

Politics-$6

La Liga-$5

Culture-$4

Tech-$2

NHL-$1

Other-$1

Premier League+$0

Biggest hit

+$12

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?

Toughest beat

-$12

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Lionel Messi: 4+ shots$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$11mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21mo ago
Sold No · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21mo ago
Bought No · Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$171mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41mo ago
Bought Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves AND Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks AND Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-07-18? AND Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-18? AND Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-18?$202mo ago
Bought New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies AND Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros AND France vs. England: Team to Win AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies AND St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$42mo ago
Bought No · Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102mo ago