← Whale Watch

martys

Predicting since May 20251,337 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.4K across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$70989¢83¢-$44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$66183¢82¢-$2
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$34286¢83¢-$10
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$18090¢83¢-$15
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$1526.3¢5.5¢-$20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$15075¢47¢-$57
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$13869¢44¢-$50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$13668¢42¢-$53
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$11457¢39¢-$37
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$10050¢37¢-$27
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$1113.4¢1.5¢-$62
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyYes$6565¢39¢-$27
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$6060¢36¢-$24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$348.5¢8.5¢+$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyYes$5151¢32¢-$19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?PoliticsNo$326.7¢6.5¢-$1
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsYes$307.1¢5.5¢-$7
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsNo$205.4¢5.0¢-$2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1713¢13¢-$1
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?CultureNo$1391¢94¢+$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?PoliticsYes$108.0¢5.5¢-$3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?PoliticsYes$72.9¢2.8¢-$0
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?CultureNo$993¢60¢-$3
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$71.4¢1.1¢-$2
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$693¢95¢+$0
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$595¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$598¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$593¢98¢+$0
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?PoliticsNo$597¢98¢+$0
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$590¢97¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$595¢97¢+$0
Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2026 TOUR Championship?GolfNo$595¢96¢+$0
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLNo$596¢96¢-$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$591¢95¢+$0
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 TOUR Championship?GolfNo$595¢94¢-$0
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$472¢89¢+$1
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$367¢88¢+$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$476¢80¢+$0
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$583¢66¢-$1
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?CultureNo$593¢68¢-$1
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureNo$399¢100¢+$0
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureNo$399¢99¢-$0
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBNo$299¢100¢+$0
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLBNo$299¢100¢+$0
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureNo$199¢100¢+$0
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?CultureNo$1100¢100¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$835.2¢0.0¢-$83
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$381.0¢0.0¢-$38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?TechYesResolved$78.0¢0.0¢-$7
Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?CryptoNoResolved$120.4¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$82.0¢0.0¢-$8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$71.1¢0.0¢-$7
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?PoliticsYesResolved$857.4¢0.0¢-$85
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Guangzhou Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsGuangzhou GamingResolved$80.4¢0.0¢-$8
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?PoliticsYesResolved$715.9¢0.0¢-$71
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$3210.0¢0.0¢-$32
Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?PoliticsNoResolved$186.0¢0.0¢-$18
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss StageeSportsDetonatioN FocusMeResolved$194.6¢0.0¢-$19
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$104.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?PoliticsYesResolved$116.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?PoliticsYesResolved$1764.5¢0.0¢-$176
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?PoliticsNoResolved$2067.2¢0.0¢-$206

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Economy-$200
Crypto+$148
Politics-$27
Weather+$22
eSports-$18
Culture+$14
Finance+$11
World Cup-$10
Tennis+$7
Tech+$5
Other+$4
Mentions+$3
Biggest hit
+$231
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$73
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$613m ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$513m ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$314m ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$1114m ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$3821m ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$1132m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?$101h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?$82h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$123h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$433h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$93h ago