Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $709 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$44 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $661 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $342 | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$10 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $180 | 90¢ | 83¢ | -$15 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $152 | 6.3¢ | 5.5¢ | -$20 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $150 | 75¢ | 47¢ | -$57 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $138 | 69¢ | 44¢ | -$50 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $136 | 68¢ | 42¢ | -$53 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $114 | 57¢ | 39¢ | -$37 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $100 | 50¢ | 37¢ | -$27 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $111 | 3.4¢ | 1.5¢ | -$62 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $65 | 65¢ | 39¢ | -$27 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $60 | 60¢ | 36¢ | -$24 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 8.5¢ | 8.5¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $51 | 51¢ | 32¢ | -$19 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $32 | 6.7¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 7.1¢ | 5.5¢ | -$7 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?Politics | No | $20 | 5.4¢ | 5.0¢ | -$2 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 13¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Culture | No | $13 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.9¢ | 2.8¢ | -$0 |
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026?Culture | No | $9 | 93¢ | 60¢ | -$3 |
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 1.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -$2 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Golf | No | $5 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | No | $5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 TOUR Championship?Golf | No | $5 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $3 | 67¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $5 | 83¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 93¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | No | $3 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?MLB | No | $2 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $83 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $38 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Over $14M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $12 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?Politics | YesResolved | $85 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Guangzhou Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Guangzhou GamingResolved | $8 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
Will Graham Platner win between 80% and 85% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will Jessica Killin be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?Politics | NoResolved | $18 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Swiss StageeSports | DetonatioN FocusMeResolved | $19 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Joe Reagan be the Democratic nominee for CO-05?Politics | YesResolved | $176 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$176 |
| Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Politics | NoResolved | $206 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$206 |