← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Sep 2024936 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $40K on Politics markets since Sep 2024.

Right now: $30K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$5.2K on Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$15K50¢80¢+$8.9K
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$10K93¢96¢+$327
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$15K50¢20¢-$8.9K
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$5.0K91¢96¢+$232
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2.5K83¢83¢+$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K83¢92¢+$152
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$81465¢76¢+$132
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$98049¢45¢-$90
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$80781¢86¢+$48
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$73683¢88¢+$44
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$56556¢68¢+$110
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?PoliticsNo$61561¢66¢+$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$55055¢59¢+$35
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?EconomyNo$43664¢78¢+$96
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24549¢99¢+$249
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2BoxingPacquiao$36236¢47¢+$109
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherNo$38076¢91¢+$73
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?TechNo$26854¢81¢+$140
5kt meteor strike in 2026?WeatherYes$33556¢27¢-$175
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$17735¢18¢-$86
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$5368¢88¢+$15
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$7238¢34¢-$7
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$2788¢97¢+$3
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$11137¢10¢-$81
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$505.0¢2.9¢-$22
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$15678¢5.1¢-$146
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?MLBJudge$2315¢6.5¢-$13
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?NFLNo$850¢61¢+$2
X banned in any European country by December 31?PoliticsYes$718¢15¢-$1
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$375¢95¢+$1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$11523¢0.3¢-$113
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$190¢96¢+$0
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAPatricio PitbullResolved$9331¢0.0¢-$93
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9018¢0.0¢-$90
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$17535¢0.0¢-$175
Will "Ass" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)MentionsNoResolved$7525¢0.0¢-$75
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11753¢0.0¢-$117
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMAOverResolved$2617¢0.0¢-$26
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$204.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?PoliticsYesResolved$2.1K74¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$3940¢0.0¢-$39
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 23?TechYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?PoliticsYesResolved$52536¢0.0¢-$525
Will "UFO" or "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)MentionsYesResolved$25966¢0.0¢-$259
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMAOverResolved$11055¢0.0¢-$110
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$76677¢0.0¢-$766
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfNoResolved$15030¢0.0¢-$150
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$16051¢0.0¢-$160
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMACurtis BlaydesResolved$14749¢0.0¢-$147
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$449.0¢0.0¢-$44
US forces enter Iran by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$3128¢0.0¢-$31
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$93.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?PoliticsYesResolved$13460¢0.0¢-$134
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?PoliticsYesResolved$793.8¢0.0¢-$79
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMAUnderResolved$10452¢0.0¢-$104
Will England win?Other sportsYesResolved$428¢0.0¢-$4
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5511¢0.0¢-$55
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKyler PhillipsResolved$13244¢0.0¢-$132
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$785.1¢0.0¢-$78
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMATatsuro TairaResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)MentionsNoResolved$6622¢0.0¢-$66
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$3010.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?PoliticsYesResolved$536.7¢0.0¢-$53
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1NoResolved$475¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump attend UFC 327?UFC / MMANoResolved$7515¢0.0¢-$75
Will Trump visit China by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$24024¢0.0¢-$240
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?FinanceYesResolved$7236¢0.0¢-$72
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3211¢0.0¢-$32
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$32866¢0.0¢-$328
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAAlex PereiraResolved$14749¢0.0¢-$147
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$81.6¢0.0¢-$8
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?FinanceUpResolved$28848¢0.0¢-$288
Will France win?Other sportsNoResolved$273.4¢0.0¢-$27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?WeatherYesResolved$29.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$010.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?MentionsNoResolved$36135¢0.0¢-$361
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$15529¢0.0¢-$155
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?PoliticsYesResolved$91.9¢0.0¢-$9
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$909.0¢0.0¢-$90
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?PoliticsYesResolved$51.3¢0.0¢-$5
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$9640¢0.0¢-$96
Iran leadership change by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$24024¢0.0¢-$240
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?FinanceDownResolved$13467¢0.0¢-$134
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)CultureNoResolved$12818¢0.0¢-$128
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$454.5¢0.0¢-$45
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1859¢0.0¢-$18
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$3588¢0.0¢-$35
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$714¢0.0¢-$7
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Run Away" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)CultureYesResolved$50.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will the announcers say "UFC History" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?UFC / MMANoResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$34068¢0.0¢-$340
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$185.9¢0.0¢-$18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on June 3?WeatherYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?Premier LeagueYesResolved$7070¢0.0¢-$70
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$21021¢0.0¢-$210
Will the fight be won by submission?UFC / MMAYesResolved$3913¢0.0¢-$39
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$736.6¢0.0¢-$73
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 21 million barrels per day in May?PoliticsYesResolved$24.6¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$40K
Finance+$5.5K
Culture-$4.9K
Crypto-$3.5K
UFC / MMA+$1.5K
Cricket+$1.5K
Other sports-$1.2K
Tech+$670
Mentions+$521
Boxing+$385
Premier League-$299
Golf-$176
Biggest hit
+$5.2K
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Toughest beat
-$3.5K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$9.2K3d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$9.1K3d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$7904d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$114d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8254d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$8534d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$5015d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$285d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$405d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?$555d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$45d ago