Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $15K | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$8.9K |
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $10K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$327 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $15K | 50¢ | 20¢ | -$8.9K |
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $5.0K | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$232 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2.5K | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $1.5K | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$152 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $814 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$132 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $980 | 49¢ | 45¢ | -$90 |
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $807 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$48 |
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Culture | No | $736 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$44 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $565 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$110 |
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $615 | 61¢ | 66¢ | +$40 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $550 | 55¢ | 59¢ | +$35 |
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?Economy | No | $436 | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$96 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $245 | 49¢ | 99¢ | +$249 |
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Boxing | Pacquiao | $362 | 36¢ | 47¢ | +$109 |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Weather | No | $380 | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$73 |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Tech | No | $268 | 54¢ | 81¢ | +$140 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $335 | 56¢ | 27¢ | -$175 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $177 | 35¢ | 18¢ | -$86 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $53 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$15 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $72 | 38¢ | 34¢ | -$7 |
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Politics | No | $27 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | Yes | $111 | 37¢ | 10¢ | -$81 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 5.0¢ | 2.9¢ | -$22 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $156 | 78¢ | 5.1¢ | -$146 |
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?MLB | Judge | $23 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | -$13 |
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?NFL | No | $8 | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $3 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $115 | 23¢ | 0.3¢ | -$113 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)UFC / MMA | Patricio PitbullResolved | $93 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $90 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $175 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$175 |
Will "Ass" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)Mentions | NoResolved | $75 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $117 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMA | OverResolved | $26 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $2.1K | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $39 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 23?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Politics | YesResolved | $525 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$525 |
Will "UFO" or "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)Mentions | YesResolved | $259 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$259 |
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMA | OverResolved | $110 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $766 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$766 |
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | NoResolved | $150 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $160 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Curtis BlaydesResolved | $147 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
US forces enter Iran by March 7?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $9 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Politics | YesResolved | $134 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Politics | YesResolved | $79 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$79 |
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMA | UnderResolved | $104 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
Will England win?Other sports | YesResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $55 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Kyler PhillipsResolved | $132 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $78 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Tatsuro TairaResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)Mentions | NoResolved | $66 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $30 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?Politics | YesResolved | $53 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Formula 1 | NoResolved | $4 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump attend UFC 327?UFC / MMA | NoResolved | $75 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$75 |
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $240 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $72 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$72 |
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $32 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $328 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$328 |
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Alex PereiraResolved | $147 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $8 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Finance | UpResolved | $288 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$288 |
Will France win?Other sports | NoResolved | $27 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 8, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Mentions | NoResolved | $361 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$361 |
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Olympics | YesResolved | $155 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $90 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Politics | YesResolved | $96 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $240 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$240 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?Finance | DownResolved | $134 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)Culture | NoResolved | $128 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 7, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will "Run Away" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the announcers say "UFC History" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?UFC / MMA | NoResolved | $6 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $340 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$340 |
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?Golf | YesResolved | $18 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on June 3?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?Premier League | YesResolved | $70 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
Will the fight be won by submission?UFC / MMA | YesResolved | $39 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $73 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$73 |
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 21 million barrels per day in May?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |