 Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?Tech | No | $610 | 87¢ | 81¢ | -$46 |
 Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Tech | No | $454 | 80¢ | 63¢ | -$100 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $383 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$40 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Weather | Yes | $126 | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$18 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | Yes | $158 | 72¢ | 41¢ | -$67 |
 Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $113 | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$29 |
 Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $90 | 78¢ | 71¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $81 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$3 |
 Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Tech | No | $90 | 91¢ | 77¢ | -$13 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | No | $94 | 79¢ | 64¢ | -$18 |
 Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $80 | 74¢ | 67¢ | -$8 |
 Will Drake release a new album by September 30?Culture | No | $78 | 91¢ | 80¢ | -$10 |
 Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?Culture | No | $77 | 70¢ | 62¢ | -$9 |
 Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $80 | 57¢ | 48¢ | -$13 |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $70 | 58¢ | 54¢ | -$5 |
 Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $95 | 35¢ | 24¢ | -$31 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $76 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$12 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 59¢ | 54¢ | -$6 |
 Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $74 | 79¢ | 68¢ | -$11 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?Culture | No | $85 | 66¢ | 48¢ | -$23 |
 Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $74 | 75¢ | 60¢ | -$15 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Politics | No | $68 | 57¢ | 48¢ | -$11 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 59¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $145 | 56¢ | 21¢ | -$90 |
 Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 54¢ | -$28 |
 Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Politics | Yes | $59 | 93¢ | 83¢ | -$6 |
 Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | No | $65 | 72¢ | 58¢ | -$13 |
 Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Weather | No | $62 | 62¢ | 51¢ | -$12 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$7 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 42¢ | 35¢ | -$11 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 71¢ | 56¢ | -$13 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $47 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$3 |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Politics | No | $54 | 76¢ | 62¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 25%-30%?Politics | No | $50 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $50 | 84¢ | 74¢ | -$6 |
 Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $52 | 43¢ | 37¢ | -$8 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Economy | No | $53 | 88¢ | 72¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 30%-35%?Politics | No | $49 | 81¢ | 72¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Politics | No | $50 | 83¢ | 71¢ | -$8 |
 Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Weather | No | $53 | 62¢ | 50¢ | -$11 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 370,000 and 400,000?Politics | No | $48 | 80¢ | 70¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%?Politics | No | $50 | 83¢ | 70¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $50 | 84¢ | 70¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-04 House election by 15%-20%?Politics | No | $52 | 87¢ | 69¢ | -$11 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?Politics | No | $50 | 83¢ | 69¢ | -$8 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $42 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000?Politics | No | $44 | 74¢ | 65¢ | -$5 |
 Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next?Other | No | $47 | 78¢ | 64¢ | -$9 |
 Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Politics | Yes | $40 | 66¢ | 62¢ | -$2 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000?Politics | No | $46 | 77¢ | 61¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 73¢ | -$7 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $40 | 66¢ | 60¢ | -$4 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $39 | 76¢ | 68¢ | -$4 |
 Will the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $39 | 67¢ | 61¢ | -$3 |
 Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election?Politics | No | $40 | 66¢ | 59¢ | -$5 |
 Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | No | $42 | 84¢ | 70¢ | -$7 |
 Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Politics | Yes | $37 | 91¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Culture | No | $78 | 74¢ | 33¢ | -$43 |
 Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Politics | No | $36 | 87¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
 Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | Yes | $41 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$7 |
 Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 91¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
 Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | Yes | $65 | 65¢ | 34¢ | -$32 |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $49 | 62¢ | 43¢ | -$15 |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?Politics | No | $38 | 68¢ | 59¢ | -$5 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?Politics | No | $43 | 71¢ | 55¢ | -$10 |
 Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $43 | 72¢ | 55¢ | -$11 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $44 | 35¢ | 26¢ | -$12 |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $48 | 68¢ | 46¢ | -$16 |
 Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?Politics | No | $50 | 83¢ | 53¢ | -$18 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?Finance | No | $43 | 72¢ | 53¢ | -$12 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?Politics | No | $43 | 71¢ | 53¢ | -$11 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September?Economy | No | $33 | 89¢ | 85¢ | -$2 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $39 | 79¢ | 63¢ | -$8 |
 Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County?Politics | No | $40 | 33¢ | 26¢ | -$9 |
 Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $38 | 63¢ | 50¢ | -$8 |
 Will the season series between the Bengals and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $36 | 60¢ | 50¢ | -$6 |
 Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 68¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
 Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 92¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 West Virginia Senate election by 30%-35%?Politics | No | $33 | 83¢ | 72¢ | -$4 |
 Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $31 | 68¢ | 63¢ | -$3 |
 Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Politics | No | $34 | 70¢ | 59¢ | -$6 |
 Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?Politics | No | $36 | 91¢ | 71¢ | -$8 |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $65 | 58¢ | 26¢ | -$36 |
 Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $28 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Politics | Yes | $39 | 36¢ | 26¢ | -$12 |
 Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?Politics | No | $29 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$1 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $37 | 92¢ | 69¢ | -$9 |
 Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $40 | 86¢ | 59¢ | -$13 |
 Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Politics | No | $32 | 79¢ | 66¢ | -$5 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?Politics | No | $32 | 71¢ | 59¢ | -$5 |
 Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?Politics | No | $32 | 81¢ | 66¢ | -$6 |
 Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $33 | 55¢ | 44¢ | -$7 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | Yes | $28 | 55¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Tech | No | $50 | 83¢ | 43¢ | -$24 |
 Will Green Party (MP) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $31 | 62¢ | 51¢ | -$6 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $30 | 86¢ | 74¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Saints win the season series against the Panthers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $42 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-16 House election by 10%-15%?Politics | No | $28 | 86¢ | 76¢ | -$3 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?Politics | No | $33 | 75¢ | 56¢ | -$8 |
 Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during RNC Convention?Mentions | Yes | $53 | 88¢ | 41¢ | -$28 |
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