← Whale Watch

misterwilly

Predicting since Mar 2025884 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$2030¢38¢+$5
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$2017¢6.5¢-$12
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$424¢27¢+$1
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$127.1¢2.6¢-$8
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?PoliticsYes$229¢63¢+$2
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?PoliticsYes$315¢20¢+$1
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?PoliticsYes$525¢20¢-$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$15.2¢16¢+$2
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$320¢20¢-$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$32.3¢2.1¢-$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$57.0¢3.9¢-$2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$212¢14¢+$0
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsYes$114¢30¢+$1
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?EconomyNo$15.0¢10¢+$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsYes$511¢4.0¢-$3
Will Glenn Youngkin be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$35.0¢2.9¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$225¢21¢-$0
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?PoliticsYes$614¢3.5¢-$4
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?PoliticsYes$18.0¢11¢+$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?PoliticsYes$214¢8.5¢-$1
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$234¢19¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$28.9¢4.8¢-$1
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?PoliticsYes$111¢12¢+$0
North Korea missile launch by November 15?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?PoliticsYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November?PoliticsYesResolved$14.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?PoliticsYesResolved$18.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 35–40 million views on Friday at noon?CultureYesResolved$15.5¢0.0¢-$1
Syria strikes Israel by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?MentionsNoResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$55.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 78000?EconomyYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?PoliticsYesResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Major US official out by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?CultureYesResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?NFLYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
US recession in 2025?EconomyYesResolved$2567¢0.0¢-$25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Trump restores local control of DC Police by August 31? PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?PoliticsNoResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$1040¢0.0¢-$10
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?TechYesResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1014¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump say "Fraud" during Cabinet meeting?MentionsNoResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?MentionsYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?PoliticsNoResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?PoliticsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?CultureYesResolved$24.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump say "Death to America" this week? (April 20 - 26)MentionsYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$43.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will anyone say "Brain" during Rick and Morty E9 S9?MentionsYesResolved$17.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during Cabinet meeting?MentionsNoResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be between 85 and 90?WeatherNoResolved$18.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?PoliticsNoResolved$130¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?PoliticsYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
RFK Jr. Out by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?MentionsYesResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?PoliticsNoResolved$14.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$14.3¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
ChatGPT Outage by May 1?TechNoResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump attend the US Open Finals?Other sportsNoResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hillary's remarks not air?PoliticsNoResolved$18.2¢0.0¢-$1
Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?CultureYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?TechNoResolved$224¢0.0¢-$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?PoliticsYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$222¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel not strike Yemen by October 1 ET?PoliticsNoResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will exactly 55 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$19.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?CultureYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$18.0¢0.0¢-$1
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?PoliticsYesResolved$26.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will the New Year’s Eve ball not drop?CultureYesResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US strike Syria next?PoliticsYesResolved$14.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?CultureYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "VoterID" or "Voter ID" during the Black History Month reception?MentionsYesResolved$123¢0.0¢-$1
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?PoliticsYesResolved$536¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?MentionsNoResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?GolfYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will exactly 56 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$527
Culture-$250
Mentions-$118
Economy-$74
Tech+$30
Weather-$21
Crypto+$15
NBA-$6
Other sports-$6
Boxing+$5
World Cup-$4
Other-$3
Biggest hit
+$162
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Toughest beat
-$100
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$12h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$91d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 25, 2026?$12d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Glenn Youngkin be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?$34d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?$34d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$25d ago
  • Bought Yes · Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$15d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?$15d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?$15d ago