arcturus

Predicting since Jul 202458 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.6K on Culture markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $1000 riding on Fed decision in December?.

Biggest hit: +$5.5K on Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will xAI’s Grok 4 win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech	YesResolved	$98	23¢	0.0¢	-$98
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Politics	NoResolved	$174	67¢	0.0¢	-$174
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$52	11¢	0.0¢	-$52
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Politics	NoResolved	$1000	17¢	0.0¢	-$1000
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$8	4.2¢	0.0¢	-$8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?Weather	YesResolved	$42	9.1¢	0.0¢	-$42
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?Tech	YesResolved	$668	24¢	0.0¢	-$668
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$795	62¢	0.0¢	-$795
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$359	94¢	0.0¢	-$359
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on November 12?Weather	NoResolved	$398	92¢	0.0¢	-$398
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$754	6.2¢	0.0¢	-$754
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on November 13?Weather	NoResolved	$338	96¢	0.0¢	-$338
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Politics	YesResolved	$500	29¢	0.0¢	-$500
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$24	4.8¢	0.0¢	-$24
Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?Tech	YesResolved	$19	9.7¢	0.0¢	-$19
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$120	6.7¢	0.0¢	-$120
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?Weather	YesResolved	$27	6.1¢	0.0¢	-$27

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$6.6K

Politics-$2.8K

Crypto-$2.8K

Tech+$2.3K

NFL+$1.7K

Weather-$1.7K

Mentions+$148

Biggest hit

+$5.5K

Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?

Toughest beat

-$6.1K

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$7737mo ago
Sold Yes · Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$7457mo ago
Sold No · Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?$2497mo ago
Sold Yes · Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6.2K7mo ago
Sold No · Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?$4657mo ago
Sold No · Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?$9907mo ago
Sold No · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$2.6K7mo ago
Sold Yes · Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$5167mo ago
Bought Yes · Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$7007mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$77mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$1687mo ago
Bought Yes · Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?$9687mo ago