← Whale Watch

Trump2028

Predicting since Dec 2023476 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $220K on Politics markets since Dec 2023.

Right now: $227K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$68K on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$147K95¢99¢+$6.0K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$107K95¢95¢+$690
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$83K99¢100¢+$250
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$74K98¢99¢+$812
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$37K97¢98¢+$287
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$13K83¢84¢+$7
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$8.5K99¢99¢+$37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?PoliticsNo$5.1K94¢93¢-$86
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K94¢96¢+$36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K99¢99¢+$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$82471¢72¢+$12
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$15797¢97¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$4386¢91¢+$2
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1188¢95¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$1196¢97¢+$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$878¢88¢+$1
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$589¢97¢+$0
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?PoliticsYesResolved$55411¢0.0¢-$554
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$44511¢0.0¢-$445
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3331.7¢0.0¢-$333
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Ethereum flipped in 2026?CryptoNoResolved$5151¢0.0¢-$51
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3331.7¢0.0¢-$333
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K94¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?MentionsNoResolved$3.3K96¢0.0¢-$3.3K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$13K33¢0.0¢-$13K
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5.8K96¢0.0¢-$5.8K
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$42011¢0.0¢-$420
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$1993¢0.0¢-$19
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$55611¢0.0¢-$556
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?OlympicsYesResolved$262.6¢0.0¢-$26
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?PoliticsYesResolved$48711¢0.0¢-$487
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?PoliticsYesResolved$02.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$3.5K31¢0.0¢-$3.5K
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?PoliticsYesResolved$41711¢0.0¢-$417
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5001.7¢0.0¢-$500

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$220K
Crypto+$101K
World Cup+$6.1K
Mentions-$3.3K
Finance+$2.9K
Tech+$2.3K
Culture+$1.1K
Olympics+$841
NFL+$698
Economy+$697
Other sports+$22
Other+$11
Biggest hit
+$68K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$47K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$52h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$221d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$1301d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$01d ago
  • Sold No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$3.6K1d ago
  • Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.5K2d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$722d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$33d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$283d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$203d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$13d ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$13d ago