← Whale Watch

0x0820-3

Predicting since Dec 20254,095 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisNo$16671¢78¢+$17
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7087¢91¢+$3
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?PoliticsYes$188.0¢4.5¢-$8
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$787¢99¢+$1
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?PoliticsNo$773¢81¢+$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$8100¢100¢+$0
Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$895¢88¢-$1
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$892¢94¢+$0
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?PoliticsYes$982¢71¢-$1
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$790¢95¢+$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$788¢90¢+$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 1, 2026?PoliticsNo$789¢89¢-$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026?PoliticsNo$03.0¢87¢+$7
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 2, 2026?PoliticsNo$789¢86¢-$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 29, 2026?PoliticsNo$786¢83¢-$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$792¢82¢-$1
Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$679¢78¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?PoliticsNo$673¢74¢+$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$590¢93¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?PoliticsYes$329¢52¢+$2
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?PoliticsYes$544¢50¢+$1
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?PoliticsNo$591¢92¢+$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?PoliticsNo$450¢68¢+$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?PoliticsNo$790¢67¢-$2
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?PoliticsYes$669¢62¢-$1
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$567¢60¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$251¢97¢+$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$345¢66¢+$1
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$488¢100¢+$0
Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?PoliticsNo$344¢50¢+$0
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$489¢99¢+$0
Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$214¢32¢+$2
Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsNo$479¢68¢-$1
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$258¢80¢+$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 9, 2026?PoliticsYes$05.0¢40¢+$3
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?PoliticsYes$337¢38¢+$0
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$336¢38¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?PoliticsNo$146¢96¢+$2
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$390¢87¢-$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 22, 2026?PoliticsYes$790¢37¢-$4
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$269¢100¢+$1
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$336¢31¢-$0
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in July 2026?PoliticsYes$219¢31¢+$1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$09.9¢90¢+$2
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$259¢64¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$262¢74¢+$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 26, 2026?PoliticsYes$446¢27¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$287¢100¢+$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 26, 2026?PoliticsYes$225¢26¢+$0
Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?PoliticsNo$294¢96¢+$0
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$293¢99¢+$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$151¢81¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$165¢99¢+$1
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$358¢35¢-$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$173¢88¢+$0
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?PoliticsYes$219¢21¢+$0
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$270¢51¢-$1
Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$220¢19¢-$0
Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$115¢38¢+$1
Will 240-249 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$14.0¢10.0¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$274¢51¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?PoliticsYes$220¢17¢-$0
Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsYes$112¢17¢+$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$20.4¢0.4¢-$0
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$189¢96¢+$0
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsNo$185¢87¢+$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?PoliticsYes$112¢17¢+$0
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$155¢54¢-$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 7, 2026?PoliticsYes$114¢16¢+$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$168¢62¢-$0
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 21, 2026?PoliticsYes$790¢15¢-$6
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$111¢24¢+$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 25, 2026?PoliticsYes$790¢14¢-$6
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsYes$225¢13¢-$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?PoliticsYes$790¢14¢-$6
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$034¢97¢+$1
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 11, 2026?PoliticsYes$228¢13¢-$1
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$20.4¢0.3¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$615
Tech-$264
Crypto-$92
Weather-$44
Culture-$34
Other sports-$32
Finance-$21
Tennis+$17
Economy-$16
Basketball (other)-$13
College Football+$12
NBA-$12
Biggest hit
+$12
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?
Toughest beat
-$106
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$13h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$03h ago
  • Cashed out No · Moscow air traffic suspended by July 25?$17h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Guillermo del Toro appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?$117h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$1018h ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$41d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$11d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Houthis successfully target shipping on July 24, 2026?$81d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$21d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?$81d ago